A Recession Is Coming, Or Is It?
Written by Lance Roberts | Aug 18, 2023 | EconomicsSince the beginning of 2022, the media has regularly warned a recession is coming. As we suggested ...
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Is Inflation Already At The Feds Target?
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Aug 16, 2023 | InvestingThe Fed's next rate move and its "higher for longer" policy mantra are predicated on high and stick...
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Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now?
Written by Lance Roberts | Aug 15, 2023 | InvestingGovernment bonds or stocks? If you were picking an asset class to outperform over the next 18-24 mo...
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Tax Receipts. Another Leading Recession Indicator?
Written by Lance Roberts | Aug 11, 2023 | EconomicsTax receipts are falling, which has historically preceded economic recessions. In a recent #MacroVi...
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Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Aug 9, 2023 | InvestingThe economy has marched forward, ignoring higher interest rates and consistent calls for a recessio...
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The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy
Written by Lance Roberts | Aug 4, 2023 | Investing“The stock market is not the economy.” Such is the latest rationalization to support the&n...
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Stocks Versus Bonds: Allocating For The Next Ten Years
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Aug 2, 2023 | InvestingOur recent article, The End of an Era for Stocks, warns that a tremendous thirty-year tailwind for ...
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Deficits, Debt, And Why $32 Trillion Matters
Written by Lance Roberts | Jul 28, 2023 | EconomicsWhile Washington continues a seemingly unbridled spending spree under the assumption "more spending...
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The Government Can’t Afford Higher for Longer, Much Longer
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Jul 26, 2023 | InvestingJerome Powell and his colleagues endlessly reassert their “higher for longer” plan for interest...
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ESG Is Dying Its Inevitable Death
Written by Lance Roberts | Jul 21, 2023 | InvestingESG scoring and mandates remain a subject we have contested since it sprang to life in 2020. The pu...
> Read MoreOur Elevator Pitch for Bonds
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Jul 19, 2023 | InvestingIn the social media era, where attention spans are measured in seconds, and 300-500 words are consi...
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Volatility Index Is So Low It Has To Go Up?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jul 18, 2023 | InvestingThe volatility index is so low it has to go higher eventually. Such seems obvious, but this year, d...
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The End of an Era for Stocks, Warns the Fed
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Jul 12, 2023 | InvestingA recent whitepaper by the Federal Reserve warns of "significantly lower profit growth and stock re...
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Student Loan Repayments – Will It Start The Recession?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 30, 2023 | EconomicsMillions of young Americans will face the end of the student loan payment moratorium this summer. W...
> Read MoreTreasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Jun 28, 2023 | InvestingLeading economists, Federal Reserve Presidents, and most investors pay close attention to the shape...
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Bull Trap Or A Bull Market?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 27, 2023 | InvestingIs the recent rally a "bull trap," or are we in a new "bull market?" Such was a question I recently...
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Signs, Signs, Everywhere Signs (But No Recession Yet)
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 23, 2023 | Economics"Signs" was a song by the Five Man Electrical Band in 1970 about the hippie movement. The song came...
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New Bull Market? It’s Different This Time.
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 16, 2023 | Investing"It's a 'New Bull Market'!" Over the past few days, the call of a new bull market has plastered hea...
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SimpleVisor Makes Relative Rotation Simpler, Part 2
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Jun 14, 2023 | InvestingPart 1, Relative Rotation- Unlocking the Hidden Potential, reviews relative rotation strategies on ...
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Bullish Sentiment Rises As FOMO Kicks In
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 13, 2023 | InvestingBullish sentiment has surged as the "Fear Of Missing Out," or FOMO, kicked in in recent weeks. It i...
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Earnings Improve. But Beware Of Trojan Horses.
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 9, 2023 | EconomicsSince October 2022, the stock market has traded consistently higher as earnings improved. With the ...
> Read MoreRelative Rotation – Unlocking the Hidden Potential Part 1
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Jun 7, 2023 | InvestingInvestors seeking to optimize their portfolio returns through bull and bear markets have various op...
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Breadth Not As Strong As Advance-Decline Suggests
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 6, 2023 | InvestingIn several recent blog posts and weekly Bull Bear Reports, we discussed our concern over the narrow...
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Monetary Conditions Index Is Working Against The Fed
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 2, 2023 | InvestingCould monetary conditions be supportive of the "soft landing" scenario? While the "recession" versu...
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CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions
Written by Michael Lebowitz | May 31, 2023 | InvestingBefore you read our thoughts on Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), pull out your wallet and co...
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Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control
Written by Lance Roberts | May 30, 2023 | InvestingLately, we discussed macro-related market issues such as the" A.I., chase," but a technical review ...
> Read MoreThe Treasury Bond. It’s Time Has Likely Come.
Written by Lance Roberts | May 26, 2023 | InvestingI received many emails and questions on “why” we are adding the U.S. Treasury bond to...
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Velocity and Money Supply- Inflation’s Dance Partners
Written by Michael Lebowitz | May 24, 2023 | InvestingMost people think the nation's money supply is the sole cause of inflation. They fail to realize in...
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A.I., Narrow Markets, And The New T.I.N.A.
Written by Lance Roberts | May 23, 2023 | InvestingThe A.I. chase is making for a very narrow market. As Bob Farrell once quipped: "Markets are st...
> Read MoreMonetary Support Suggests Bear Market Is Possibly Over
Written by Lance Roberts | May 19, 2023 | InvestingCould massive monetary support have softened the deep bear market many expected? It is an interesti...
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