Eric Hickman: Recession Is More Likely Than You Think
Written by Guest Author | Jan 20, 2020Good economic news over the last couple months belies the fact that a recession could strike as soon as March 2020.
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Market Continues “Euphoric” Advance As 3500 Becomes Next Target
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 18, 2020The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.
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MacroView: 2020 Market & Investment Outlook
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jan 17, 2020The Fed’s problem is not only are they caught in an “economic liquidity trap,” where monetary policy has become ineffective in stimulating economic growth, but are also captive to a “market liquidity trap.”
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 01-13-20
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 17, 2020We know you get busy and don’t check our website as often as you might…
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The Fed Won’t Avert The Next “Crisis,” They Will Cause It.
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 16, 2020There are three major issues facing the Federal Reserve’s monetary interventions. While it is currently believed the Fed can save us from the next crisis, the reality is the Fed will be the one to cause it.
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Seth Levine: The Unsurprising Repo Surprise
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 16, 2020Have you heard? There’s trouble in the repo markets. Even casual investment market participants probably…
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Yeah…But
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Jack Scott | Jan 15, 2020Yeah… Barry Bonds, a Major League Baseball (MLB) player, put up some amazing stats in…
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Technically Speaking: This Is Nuts – Part Deux
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 14, 2020A second look at the overly optimistic structure of the market currently as “everyone is in the equity pool.” Combined with the technical deviations of the long-term mean, this is why we recently reduced risk.
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Comparison & The Role Your Advisor Should Play
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 13, 2020The reality is that the majority of advisors are ill-prepared for an impact event to occur. This is particularly the case in late-stage bull market cycles where complacency runs high.
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This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 11, 2020This Is Nuts Portfolio Position Review MacroView: Has The Fed Trapped Itself? Financial Planning Corner:…
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MacroView: Has The Fed Trapped Itself?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 11, 2020The Fed’s problem is not only are they caught in an “economic liquidity trap,” where monetary policy has become ineffective in stimulating economic growth, but are also captive to a “market liquidity trap.”
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 01-06-20
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 10, 2020This past week was our annual family ski trip, which is why our postings have…
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Market Bubbles: It’s Not The Price, It’s The Mentality.
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 9, 2020The increase in speculative risks, combined with excess leverage, leave the markets vulnerable to a sizable correction at some point in the future. The only missing ingredient for such a correction is the catalyst to bring “fear” into an overly complacent marketplace.
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Investing Versus Speculating
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Jack Scott | Jan 8, 2020Value investors understand that compounding wealth depends on avoiding large losses. These terms and their proper definitions serve as a rock-solid foundation for sound reasoning and analytical rigor of market forces, central bank policies, and geopolitical dynamics that influence global liquidity, asset prices, and valuations. They enable critical foresight.
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Technically Speaking: Markets Dismiss Iran As The Fed “Put” Remains
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 7, 2020You would think that with the U.S. taking out a top Iranian commander, threats of military action flying between the U.S. and Iran, not to mention the “Selective Service” website crashing over concerns of World War III, the markets would be in full “sell” mode. If you thought that would be the case, you were wrong.
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The Next Decade: Valuations & The Destiny Of Low Returns
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 6, 2020The two previous 20-year secular bull markets begin with valuations in single digits. At the end of the first decade of those secular advances, valuations were still trading below 20x.The 1920-1929 secular advance most closely mimics the current 2010 cycle. While valuations started below 5x earnings in 1919, they eclipsed 30x earnings ten-years later in 1929. The rest, as they say, is history. Or rather, maybe “past is prologue” is more fitting.
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Market Flat In 2020 As Iran Trips Up Traders
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 4, 2020Market Review & Update MacroView: Is This A Repeat Of 2018? Sector & Market Analysis…
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MacroView: Will The The Market Repeat The Start Of 2018?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 3, 2020“Don’t fight the Fed” That is the current mantra of the market as we begin…
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 12-30-19
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 3, 2020This past week was our annual family ski trip, which is why our postings have…
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30% Up Years – Should You Sell It?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jan 3, 2020The bull market turned in an impressive gain of over 30% (on a total return…
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Robertson: The Fed’s Monetary Magic
Written by David Robertson | Jan 3, 2020Given the strong performance of stocks over the past year and the past decade, investors…
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After 20-Years Of Trading: You Learn You Know Nothing
Written by Jared Dillian | Jan 1, 2020You ever notice— That some memories tend to be stronger than others? What sort of…
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S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review – 1-1-2020
Written by J. Brett Freeze | Jan 1, 2020J. Brett Freeze, CFA, founder of Global Technical Analysis. Each month Brett will provide you…
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7-Difficult Trading Rules To Follow In Bull Markets
Written by Lance Roberts | Dec 30, 2019As we wrap up the last two-trading days of the decade, I am wrapping up…
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Special Update: Market “Melt Up” Continues
Written by Lance Roberts | Dec 28, 2019Market Melt Up Continues Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter,…
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#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 12-23-19
Written by Lance Roberts | Dec 27, 2019This past week was our annual family ski trip, which is why our postings have…
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7-Simple Investing Rules Your Mother Taught You
Written by Lance Roberts | Dec 26, 2019When I was growing up my mother had a saying, or an answer, for just…
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Market And Investing Wisdoms For 2020
Written by Lance Roberts | Dec 23, 2019Last week, I posted our 2020 Outlook, which focused on the futility of trying to…
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Stocks Vs. Bonds: Why We Own Them & You Should Too
Written by Lance Roberts | Dec 23, 2019Flip on CNBC, pick up a financial paper, or scroll a financial website and you…
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Market Melts Up As Fed Turns On The Liquidity Firehose
Written by Lance Roberts | Dec 21, 2019Market Melts Up As Fed Turns On Liquidity Firehose Opportunities In A Melt-Up 2020 –…
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