“That 70s Show”
Written by Lance Roberts | Sep 22, 2023 | EconomicsThe hit TV series "That 70s Show" aired from 1998 to 2006 and focused on six teenage friends living...
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Bond Vigilantes And The Waiting For Godot
Written by Lance Roberts | Sep 15, 2023 | EconomicsThe term "Bond Vigilantes" is a nostalgic twist on an old-west theme. In the nineteenth century, th...
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Economic Data Points Diverge
Written by Lance Roberts | Sep 8, 2023 | EconomicsSince the beginning of the year, economic data has continued to defy the recession calls of 2022. T...
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Powell’s Speech Obfuscates The Truth Behind Inflation
Written by Lance Roberts | Sep 1, 2023 | EconomicsPowell's recent Jackson Hole Summit speech was mainly as expected. Well, except for the part where ...
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Inflation And Deficits And QT, Oh My -Part 2
Written by Michael Lebowitz | Aug 30, 2023 | EconomicsPart one of this article discusses the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China...
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Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher
Written by Lance Roberts | Aug 25, 2023 | EconomicsFitch's recent downgrade of the U.S. debt rating alarmed investors as the deficit and debt steadily...
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A Recession Is Coming, Or Is It?
Written by Lance Roberts | Aug 18, 2023 | EconomicsSince the beginning of 2022, the media has regularly warned a recession is coming. As we suggested ...
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Tax Receipts. Another Leading Recession Indicator?
Written by Lance Roberts | Aug 11, 2023 | EconomicsTax receipts are falling, which has historically preceded economic recessions. In a recent #MacroVi...
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Deficits, Debt, And Why $32 Trillion Matters
Written by Lance Roberts | Jul 28, 2023 | EconomicsWhile Washington continues a seemingly unbridled spending spree under the assumption "more spending...
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Student Loan Repayments – Will It Start The Recession?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 30, 2023 | EconomicsMillions of young Americans will face the end of the student loan payment moratorium this summer. W...
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Signs, Signs, Everywhere Signs (But No Recession Yet)
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 23, 2023 | Economics"Signs" was a song by the Five Man Electrical Band in 1970 about the hippie movement. The song came...
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Earnings Improve. But Beware Of Trojan Horses.
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 9, 2023 | EconomicsSince October 2022, the stock market has traded consistently higher as earnings improved. With the ...
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Minimum Wage & The Fed’s Biggest Fear
Written by Lance Roberts | May 5, 2023 | EconomicsHow does the minimum wage affect the Fed's biggest fear? I touched on this subject previously as th...
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Banking Crisis Is How It Starts, Recession Is How It Ends
Written by Lance Roberts | Mar 31, 2023 | EconomicsAs the Fed tightens monetary policy, a banking crisis is historically the first evidence that somet...
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“Not QE” Puts Fed Between A “Rock And A Hard Place”
Written by Lance Roberts | Mar 21, 2023 | Economics"QE" or "Quantitative Easing" has been the bull's "siren song" of the last decade, but will "Not QE...
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Bank Runs. The First Sign The Fed “Broke Something.”
Written by Lance Roberts | Mar 14, 2023 | EconomicsWith the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions of potential "bank runs" spread among regional ...
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From Consumer Sentiment To Unemployment – The Parallels
Written by Jim Colquitt | Mar 6, 2023 | EconomicsOn Friday, February 24th, the most recent reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment ...
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Recession Signal As Consumers Struggle To Pay Bills
Written by Lance Roberts | Feb 17, 2023 | EconomicsWe recently discussed the recession signals from the NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Busin...
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NFIB Survey Suggests A Recession Is Coming
Written by Lance Roberts | Feb 3, 2023 | EconomicsThe most recent NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) is sending a strong signal of an...
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Mild Recession Likely To Be Worse Than Expected
Written by Lance Roberts | Sep 30, 2022 | EconomicsA recent MarketWatch article discussed JPMorgan's Chief Operating Officer, Daniel Pinto, views abou...
> Read MoreDebt & Why The Fed Is Trapped
Written by Lance Roberts | Sep 23, 2022 | EconomicsThe massive debt levels provide the single most significant risk and challenge to the Federal Reser...
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Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?
Written by Lance Roberts | Sep 13, 2022 | EconomicsRecently, the Biden Administration started taking victory laps on deficit reduction. Of course, the...
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Economic Slowdown Now, Recession Coming In 2023
Written by Lance Roberts | Aug 16, 2022 | EconomicsEconomic slowdown but no recession! That message comes from the latest employment report, service s...
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MMT Policy Was Tried, And It Failed.
Written by Lance Roberts | Jul 22, 2022 | EconomicsMMT Policy (Modern Monetary Theory), the grand experiment, was tried following the pandemic-driven ...
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“Economic Hurricane” – Hyperbole Or Real Possibility?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 14, 2022 | EconomicsAn "economic hurricane" is coming. That ominous warning comes from Jamie Dimon, CEO of J.P. Morgan ...
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Social Security: Whistling Past The $96 Trillion Graveyard
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 10, 2022 | EconomicsSocial Security has a problem. As Democrats push to expand entitlements to include free preschool a...
> Read MoreRecession Warnings Rise, Limiting Fed’s Inflation Fight
Written by Lance Roberts | Apr 25, 2022 | EconomicsRecession warnings are clearly on the rise. Much of the initial media fervor focuses on the inversi...
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Bailouts And The Demise Of Capitalism And Free Markets
Written by Lance Roberts | Mar 28, 2022 | EconomicsBailouts are the root cause of the dysfunction of capitalism and the demise of free markets. Ov...
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Recession Risk: Rising Rapidly (Or, Could We Be In One Already?)
Written by Lance Roberts | Mar 18, 2022 | EconomicsRecession risk is rising rapidly. In fact, it is possible that we may already be in one. While ...
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Oil Spikes And Economic Outcomes
Written by Lance Roberts | Mar 11, 2022 | EconomicsOil spikes have historically negatively impacted economic outcomes. As the chart below shows, oil s...
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