Category Archives: Economics

The Ingredients Of An “Event”

Written by Lance Roberts | Sep, 17, 2018

This past week marked the 10th-Anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Of course, there were many articles recounting the collapse and laying blame for the “great financial crisis” at…

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Employment: It’s The Trend That Matters

Written by Lance Roberts | Sep, 13, 2018

Last week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) published the August monthly “employment report” which showed an increase in employment of 201,000 jobs. It was also the 94th consecutive positive…

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Weekend Reading: Fall Back

Written by Lance Roberts | Sep, 7, 2018

Doug Kass made an interesting observation about the market yesterday: “The month of September started with optimism. That optimism has faded in the last two trading days. The most notable…

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As Good As It Gets

Written by Lance Roberts | Aug, 30, 2018

“Only those that risk going too far can possibly find out how far one can go.” – T.S. Eliot I was reminded of that quote recently as I was reading…

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Should You Ignore John C. Bogle?

Written by Lance Roberts | Aug, 27, 2018

Listen, I get it. When markets are rising everyone wants to be bullish. Why not? As Bob Farrell’s Rule #10 states: “Bull markets are more fun than bear markets.”  It…

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Why U.S. Stocks Hit A Record

Written by Jesse Colombo | Aug, 27, 2018

The S&P 500 hit an intraday record of 2,876.16 on Friday, surpassing its January 2018 peak that occurred before the violent 12% correction that ensued in February. The official reason…

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Weekend Reading: Impeachment Risk

Written by Lance Roberts | Aug, 24, 2018

Yesterday, the President stated: “If I ever got impeached, I think the market would crash. I think everybody would be very poor. Because without this thinking, you would see, you…

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Don’t Fear The Yield Curve?

Written by Lance Roberts | Aug, 23, 2018

In July of this year, James McCusker penned an article entitled “Don’t Fear The Yield Curve” in which he stated: “There are always a lot of things to worry about…

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Boiling A Turkey

Written by Lance Roberts | Aug, 16, 2018

There is an age old fable describing a frog being slowly boiled alive. The premise is that if a frog is put suddenly into boiling water, it will try and save…

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Why Turkey’s Bubble Economy Is About To Pop

Written by Jesse Colombo | Aug, 13, 2018

Though Turkey’s financial markets have been struggling since the start of this year, the country’s currency and government bonds have been in an all-out freefall in the past week. A…

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Was Q2-GDP Really All That Extraordinary?

Written by Lance Roberts | Aug, 2, 2018

Last week, while I was on vacation, I penned a report prior to the release of the second quarter GDP report in which I noted the following: “Tomorrow, the US Department…

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Tariff Turbulence, Mollified Market

Written by John Coumarianos | Aug, 1, 2018

The founder who shaped our economic system more than all the others was Alexander Hamilton. Unlike Thomas Jefferson, Hamilton favored an economy based on finance and industry rather than agriculture….

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The Mirage That Will Be Q2-GDP

Written by Lance Roberts | Jul, 26, 2018

Tomorrow, the US Department of Commerce will report its advance estimate of 2Q GDP which will be the long-awaited evidence that “Trumponomics” is working. The current estimates for the initial print…

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