Daily Market Commentary Why Small Caps Have Recently Traded Like A Bond Proxy Blog Are Bonds Pricing In A Fed Policy Mistake? Daily Market Commentary Neoclouds And Hyperscalers: Same Concept, Different Risks Daily Market Commentary The Misleading Tech Sell-Off Daily Market Commentary Warsh Says Little: Market Hears Hold Blog AI Capex And Earnings: What Happens When Growth Slows Bull Bear Report Pimco Sees A 6% 10-Year. Here’s Why “Bad Inflation” Caps Yields Daily Market Commentary CoreWeave Shares Tumble As Its Debt Flounders Blog Bad Inflation Cures Itself. Good Inflation Doesn’t Daily Market Commentary CPI Hotter Than Expected: Is A Hike Back On The Table?
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Friday — October 23, 2026
Houston, Texas

Category: PRO COMMENTARY

Amodei Says Slow Down: Trump And China Say No

Amodei Says Slow Down: Trump And China Say No

By RIA Team, Sep 15, 2026

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published an essay, “We Must Pace the Frontier,” on his personal website last weekend that is weighing on AI stocks. Amodei argues AI labs need to slow development to manage the risks that come with capabilities improving faster than our ability to understand and control them. Sam Altman and Elon Musk […]

Weak Buyback & Strong Auctions: Bullish Signals For Bonds

Weak Buyback & Strong Auctions: Bullish Signals For Bonds

By RIA Team, Sep 14, 2026

Last Thursday’s Treasury buyback operation was deemed “weak” in the financial media as it bought back just $5.19 billion, less than the $6 billion investors had anticipated. A buyback succeeds only if current bondholders are willing to sell their existing holdings back to the Treasury at the offered price. Thus, a “weak” or undersized buyback […]

Crisis Will Test Our Mettle – Lessons From 9/11

Crisis Will Test Our Mettle – Lessons From 9/11

By RIA Team, Sep 11, 2026

Twenty-five years ago today, nearly 3,000 people lost their lives in the September 11th attacks, a tragedy that reshaped our country. We pause to honor those who lost their lives in the event. In the years since the crisis, financial markets have absorbed the shock, adapted, and moved forward. Beyond remembering the event and honoring […]

Bessent Threatens ‘I Am The House’: Bond Traders Should Listen

Bessent Threatens ‘I Am The House’: Bond Traders Should Listen

By RIA Team, Sep 10, 2026

At a speech Tuesday night at SMU, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent threatened currency traders to bet against him on the Japanese yen, claiming, I am the house now, so when we intervene with the Japanese yen, I have pretty good insight into what the Japanese, what the Bank of Japan is going to do, what […]

Is Warsh Setting Up A Policy Error?

Is Warsh Setting Up A Policy Error?

By RIA Team, Sep 9, 2026

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent Hawkish Pivot raises a troubling question: is he actually worried about inflation, or is he changing his tune to build the Fed’s inflation-fighting credibility as it tries to stabilize long-term yields? If the latter, he risks making a policy error if he raises rates. At his recent Jackson Hole speech, […]

Yield Curve Tells Us More Than We Think

Yield Curve Tells Us More Than We Think

By RIA Team, Sep 8, 2026

The BLS reported that payrolls jumped by 162,000, more than tripling estimates of a 50,000 gain. Unemployment held at 4.1%, and wages rose 0.3% for the month. Below, we share a bullish reaction and a more measured one from Wall Street analysts. While helpful to know how analysts view the data, they often contradict one […]

Is CoreWeave At The Mercy Of The Bond Market?

Is CoreWeave At The Mercy Of The Bond Market?

By RIA Team, Sep 4, 2026

CoreWeave, which rents GPU computing capacity to AI labs and hyperscalers, sits at the heart of a circular financing story that worries some investors. CoreWeave’s total debt sits at $35 billion as of June 30, up sharply from $21 billion at year-end 2025. Further, interest expense hit $640 million last quarter, accounting for more than […]

Global Bond Yields Fret Inflation & Deficits

Global Bond Yields Fret Inflation & Deficits

By RIA Team, Sep 3, 2026

For those worried about the impact of deficits and inflation on US bond yields, it’s worth taking a trip around the world to get a better picture. Global bond yields for many of the world’s ten largest economies are behaving similarly. Across the Globe, the US, Germany, Japan, France, Italy, and Brazil- seven of the […]

The Ternus Era Begins At Apple

The Ternus Era Begins At Apple

By RIA Team, Sep 2, 2026

After 15 years of guiding Apple to become the largest US company by market cap, Tim Cook stepped down as Apple’s CEO effective September 1. In his place, John Ternus, the company’s hardware engineering chief since 2021, will become Apple’s eighth CEO. The move was announced in April, but with the CEO turnover in September, […]