Because Warsh doesn’t believe in forward guidance, Friday’s Jackson Hole speech may be the last window investors get into his thinking before the September 16 FOMC meeting. Accordingly, it’s worth spending more time on his speech to see if Wall Streets verdict agrees with our hawkish take in Monday’s Commentary- Warsh Makes A Hawkish Pivot. […]
Traditionally, the annual Jackson Hole Symposium is where the Fed Chair signals which economic forces are shaping the Fed’s thinking for the coming year. With a few members pushing for rate hikes and inflation making others anxious, the market is taking his speech as more of an indication of what the Fed may or may […]
Nvidia reported record fiscal second-quarter results Wednesday with revenue more than doubling year over year to $96 billion. After initially falling on the news, the stock rose over 8% overnight. During the earnings call with analysts, CFO Colette Kress guided Nvidia’s fiscal 2028 revenue to roughly 70% growth. The forecast implies nearly $700 billion in […]
Bitcoin peaked a year ago, hitting an all-time high of $126,210 in October 2025, and has since fallen more than 50%, bottoming near $58,000 two months ago. The tide may be turning; over the last week, Bitcoin rose by over 20%, marking its sharpest bounce during this year-long drawdown. The question is whether that marks […]
Famed investor Stanley Druckenmiller published a Wall Street Journal opinion piece (Let The Bond Market Speak) on Monday, in which he warns Treasury Secretary Bessent about long-dated bond buybacks. His core thesis seems to rest on the paradox between Warsh’s strong belief in the information value of free markets and the Treasury’s actions to intervene […]
The Treasury General Account (TGA) is Treasury’s cash balance held at the Federal Reserve. Its balance is the net of cash inflows like tax receipts and outflows to pay the government’s bills. On Monday, we learned that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent may fund the expanded Treasury bond buyback program by tapping the TGA. Currently, as […]
Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed Chair on Friday, August 28, at the Kansas City Fed’s annual symposium in Wyoming. The meeting occurs less than three weeks before the September 16 FOMC decision. While the official topic is financial innovation in payments, Wall Street will primarily want to see whether Warsh […]
Starting December 6, 2026, Nasdaq will offer a trading session starting at 9 p.m. to 4 a.m. ET. The new hours, in addition to the standard 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET and current pre- and post-market trading sessions, would extend the exchange’s trading to nearly 23 hours a day, five days a week, from […]
The U.S. Treasury announced yesterday that it will at least double its liquidity-supporting buyback operations for Treasury notes and bonds with 10 or more years to maturity. The current per-operation cap of $2 billion will rise to at least $4 billion, effective September 9, 2026, and remains in place through November 4. While very close […]