Market pundits seem to have strong opinions about how fast or slow the economic recovery will be once it starts. Such clairvoyance is stunning given the uncertainty of the current GDP forecast, which is already two-thirds in the books.
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Too fast, too furious. That describes the April/May advance following the fastest 30% decline in history. The reason was not an improvement in fundamentals but a generation of investors front running Fed liquidity flows.
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The death of George Floyd was unjust and tragic. However, his death was the catalyst which lit the powder keg of dissension simmering beneath the headlines.
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The Chicago Fed National Activity Index crashes by most on record. It is a broad composite of 85-subcomponents and is the most important economic number. It also says much about the stock market.
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Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 23 were 2,123,000. That’s the 10th-week claims topped 2-million and is a key indicator about the economy.
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S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review. A deep dive into the fundamentals which drive long-term returns from J. Breet Freeze.
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Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
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At a time when many investors are feverishly trying to expand their retirement pots, it can be tempting to chase short-term opportunities to gain marginal advantages.
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Don’t worry. The Fed has belts and suspenders. The Fed’s balance sheet is approaching $7 trillion dollars. This is what Bernanke meant by suspenders.
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Inflation is a real and present danger, and policy decisions are the cause. A complex crosscurrent of influences will determine the magnitude of an inflation problem.
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Bull or bear market, Defining the market using long-term analysis to determine the current trend, potential outcomes, and portfolio assumptions.
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The “unavoidable pension crisis” has arrived and the consequences will devastate many Americans who are depending on their pensions for retirement.
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The economy won’t soon return to normal.Numerous chain reaction ripple impacts will delay the economic recovery and the Fed is now in “panic mode.”
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Collateral, Leverage, Volatility and the mental framework for investing in a market driven by psychology more than fundamentals in the short-term.
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Currently, the Fed is injecting liquidity into the markets and economy at a record pace. While liquidity does have positive short-term benefits, is the Fed walking into a trap?
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Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
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The economic effects from COVID-19 will be devastating. Stock and asset prices will fall dramatically and will take years to recover.
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The novel COVID-19 virus has driven the world economy into the deepest recession since the Great Depression and is transforming the U.S. in a new economy.
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The Fed is providing stimulus to the markets and economy at a “light speed” like rate
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If the Fed really does follow the market, then negative rates are almost assured. However, even though the market pared back bets on negative interest rates, questions still persist.
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As the seasonal summer weakness approaches investors are now wondering if the market will retest is previous lows? We analyze the risk and reward.
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There are two different types of “recessionary” events that occur throughout history. “Business cycle” recessions, and “event-driven” recessions. Is it possible the Fed over-reacted to a natural disaster?
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Jeremy Siegel, will likely be proved wrong about the end of the “40-year bond bull” market. History suggests it likely has quite a long way as the U.S. become more like Japan over time.
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Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
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The stock market has been secular since its origin in 1802. Every secular bull has been followed by a secular bear and vice versa.
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Negative rates are not an option. That was Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s point as he reiterated the Fed’s position on negative rates.
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Jerome Powell recently said: “both the depth and duration of the economic downturn are extraordinarily uncertain.” No truer words have ever been spoken.
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While investors cling to the “hope” that the Fed has everything under control, there is more than a reasonable chance they don’t.
The stock market is not the economy. However, it is the economy which generates the revenues for corporations that leads to their profitability.
The Federal Reserve seemingly is an ongoing mission to destroy the bottom 90%. The one…
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There is a 6.4 million discrepancy between the change in employment level and the change in unemployment level.
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