Daily Market Commentary Hedge Funds Sell, Retail Buys: Whose The Smart Money? Blog Griffin May Be Right About AI. The Timing Could Be Very Wrong. Daily Market Commentary The Market’s Biggest Buyer Is Stepping Back Bull Bear Report Stock-Bond Correlation: Oil Broke The Hedge. Oil Will Fix It. Daily Market Commentary Meta Splits: The Buyback Machine Shifts To Reverse Blog Fed Over-Tightening: How Much Runway Is Left Before It Bites? Daily Market Commentary Why Small Caps Have Recently Traded Like A Bond Proxy Blog Are Bonds Pricing In A Fed Policy Mistake? Daily Market Commentary Neoclouds And Hyperscalers: Same Concept, Different Risks Daily Market Commentary The Misleading Tech Sell-Off
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Tuesday — October 27, 2026
Houston, Texas
Search Results

lance roberts

1,316 results found

Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 4 years ago

Equity Volatility Grinds to a Halt

Volatility in the equity markets has fallen significantly over the last few weeks. The graph below compares two popular measures of equity volatility. Realized volatility is the annualized volatility based on recent actual changes in the S&P 500. Implied volatility, using options pricing, gauges expectations for expected equity volatility. Realized and implied annualized volatility are […]

RIA Team 7 min read
Reverse Repo Shows Banks Reluctant Lend Newsletter
— Newsletter · 4 years ago

Reverse Repo Shows Banks Reluctant Lend

While today's missive will explore why "reverse repo" is continuing to cause banking stress, the markets took a bit of a breather this week, as we suggested would be the case.

Lance Roberts 17 min read
Indicators Warn Of Recession. Analysts Disagree. Newsletter
— Newsletter · 4 years ago

Indicators Warn Of Recession. Analysts Disagree.

We live in interesting times as investors push stocks higher as recession indicators send a strong warning. However, that rise is not broad-based and is a function of a topic we posed in November 2022.

Lance Roberts 17 min read
Buy Signals Trigger As Market Rallies On Not QE. Newsletter
— Newsletter · 4 years ago

Buy Signals Trigger As Market Rallies On Not QE.

Despite concerns of a banking crisis, the markets triggered multiple buy signals as the market rallied for a second week. These buy signals follow our early February article discussing the "sell signals" at that time.

Lance Roberts 16 min read
Recession Indicators Say The Fed Broke Something Invest
— Invest · 4 years ago

Recession Indicators Say The Fed Broke Something

Recession indicators are ringing loudly. Yet, the Fed remains focused on its inflation fight, as repeatedly noted by Jerome Powell following this week’s FOMC meeting. During his press conference, he specifically made two critical comments. The first was that inflation remains too high and is well above the Fed’s two-percent goal. The second was that […]

Lance Roberts 6 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 4 years ago

The Silent Bank Run

Long before Silicon Valley Bank failed, the banking sector was experiencing a silent bank run. Unlike the Great Depression, where lines of people clamoring for their money were blocks long, this silent bank run, as its name portends, has been out of sight until recently. There are a couple of reasons for this. First, online […]

RIA Team 4 min read
Financial Stability Or Inflation. A Tough Choice For The Fed. Newsletter
— Newsletter · 4 years ago

Financial Stability Or Inflation. A Tough Choice For The Fed.

This week, financial stability was rocked by bank solvency issues starting with Silicon Valley Bank and spreading through Credit Suisse. With that, the market took out the support at the rising trend line and the 200-DMA, which violated our stop-loss levels, where we reduced exposure to equities. With all of the previous bullish support levels broken, the next logical level of support is the December lows. A failure there will then set supports at the June and October lows.

Lance Roberts 17 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 4 years ago

Rate Pivot or Higher For Longer

Less than a week after Jerome Powell was pounding the table on Capitol Hill, arguing the Fed must stay aggressive in its inflation fight, the market thinks the Fed is about to make an abrupt pivot and drop the Fed Funds rate rapidly. The graph below compares expectations for Fed Funds on March 7 (light […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Testimony From Powell Kills Pivot Hopes Newsletter
— Newsletter · 4 years ago

Testimony From Powell Kills Pivot Hopes

This past week, the market took a double whammy from Jerome Powell's testimony and concerns about a crack in the regional bank sector. We discussed the latter in yesterday's Daily Market Commentary

Lance Roberts 16 min read