Daily Market Commentary Hedge Funds Sell, Retail Buys: Whose The Smart Money? Blog Griffin May Be Right About AI. The Timing Could Be Very Wrong. Daily Market Commentary The Market’s Biggest Buyer Is Stepping Back Bull Bear Report Stock-Bond Correlation: Oil Broke The Hedge. Oil Will Fix It. Daily Market Commentary Meta Splits: The Buyback Machine Shifts To Reverse Blog Fed Over-Tightening: How Much Runway Is Left Before It Bites? Daily Market Commentary Why Small Caps Have Recently Traded Like A Bond Proxy Blog Are Bonds Pricing In A Fed Policy Mistake? Daily Market Commentary Neoclouds And Hyperscalers: Same Concept, Different Risks Daily Market Commentary The Misleading Tech Sell-Off
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Tuesday — October 27, 2026
Houston, Texas
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lance roberts

1,316 results found

Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

Costco Customers Shift To Pork- Another Recession Warning

In its recent earnings call, Costco’s CFO gave a unique warning about the potential for a slowdown or recession. As shown below, courtesy of The Transcript, Costco warns they are seeing shifts in what customers are buying. Such consumption shifts are similar to those Costco witnessed during the 2008 and 2000 recessions. In particular, Costco […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Soft Recession. Is It A Possibility? Newsletter
— Newsletter · 3 years ago

Soft Recession. Is It A Possibility?

Analysts are full of economic possibilities, from hard landing to no landing scenarios, but what about a soft recession? As noted last week, with earnings season mostly behind us, reported earnings came in "better than expected." Such put Wall Street analysts in an optimistic mood hoping the worst is behind us.

Lance Roberts 15 min read
Reported Earnings Has Wall Street Hoping The Bottom Is In Newsletter
— Newsletter · 3 years ago

Reported Earnings Has Wall Street Hoping The Bottom Is In

With earnings season mostly behind us, reported earnings came in "better than expected." This has put Wall Street analysts in an optimistic mood hoping the worst is behind us. However, before we dig into the data, let's review the market action this past week.

Lance Roberts 17 min read
Recession Alert Confirmed By NFIB Newsletter
— Newsletter · 3 years ago

Recession Alert Confirmed By NFIB

The latest NFIB data sends a recession alert, and the inflation data will likely keep the Fed on pause for now. However, the stock market hopes for a return to monetary accommodation. Unfortunately, both can't be right.

Lance Roberts 18 min read
Debt Ceiling Non-Crisis And The Fed’s Last Rate Hike Newsletter
— Newsletter · 3 years ago

Debt Ceiling Non-Crisis And The Fed’s Last Rate Hike

The debt ceiling and the Fed have consumed market headlines this past week. However, as noted last week, the short-term "sell signal" triggered. While the market rallied to the February highs last Thursday and Friday, the signals kept us out of trouble of being overly exposed to equity risk.

Lance Roberts 17 min read
Earning Reports Mixed But Not Terrible Newsletter
— Newsletter · 3 years ago

Earning Reports Mixed But Not Terrible

This week, the market mustered a rally as corporate earnings were not as "terrible as expected." Part of that rally came from short-term oversold conditions and a massive short position in the S&P 500 index.

Lance Roberts 13 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 4 years ago

Freight Recession Warns UPS and JB Hunt

Last week JB Hunt Transportation Services (JBHT) warned that the freight trucking sector was slowing down. JBHT’s President said: “Simply stated, we’re in a freight recession.” UPS echoed their sentiment on Tuesday. First-quarter revenue for UPS fell short of expectations and 6% below last year’s level. Further, they guided forward revenue projections lower. Carol Tome, […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Is A Rolling Recession Helping The Markets? Newsletter
— Newsletter · 4 years ago

Is A Rolling Recession Helping The Markets?

Is a "rolling recession" helping the markets? Such was a thought proposed by Liz Ann Sonders last week that is worth thinking about. However, before that, let's review the market action from this week.

Lance Roberts 14 min read
Inflation Eases. Is The Fed Next? Newsletter
— Newsletter · 4 years ago

Inflation Eases. Is The Fed Next?

"Inflation eases" was the headline that consumed the media over the last few days. As discussed in more detail, while inflation eased, did it decline enough to halt the Fed's rate-hiking campaign? Michael Lebowitz noted on Friday that CPI remains well above the long-term trend.

Lance Roberts 16 min read