Daily Market Commentary Dow Slides While Nasdaq Rallies: Omen Or Rotation? Blog Earnings Mean Reversion: When Estimates Snap Back Daily Market Commentary Low Jobless Claims Are ‘Half A Misnomer’ Bull Bear Report The Fed Rate Hike Won’t Fix The Inflation It Targets Daily Market Commentary A Hike Like No Other Blog K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception Daily Market Commentary Another Hike By Year End And No Cuts On The Horizon Blog Has The Bond Market Already Done The Fed’s Job? Daily Market Commentary Fed Hikes: Then What? Daily Market Commentary Amodei Says Slow Down: Trump And China Say No
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Tuesday — September 22, 2026
Houston, Texas
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223 results found

History’s Biggest Bull Market Leaves 80% Of Americans Behind Invest
— Invest · 3 years ago

History’s Biggest Bull Market Leaves 80% Of Americans Behind

Despite the largest bull market in history, 80% of Americans still struggle with their finances and are unprepared for retirement. Such a reality is a stark difference from the belief that rising asset prices benefit the masses. **** New Report for update https://collabfund.com/blog/its-supposed-to-be-hard/ https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/29/fewer-americans-live-paycheck-to-paycheck-as-inflation-starts-to-ease.html https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-how-much-the-average-working-boomer-has-saved-for-retirement-11655923201 A year after the Covid-19 pandemic struck the U.S. economy […]

Lance Roberts 8 min read
False Narratives Weigh On The Bond Market Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

False Narratives Weigh On The Bond Market

False narratives are stories market pundits tell to justify market actions. Sometimes, they are factual. Oftentimes, legitimate-sounding false narratives are incorrect. Yesterday’s Commentary took bond market false narratives to task. Specifically, one which claims foreign debt holders, specifically China and Japan, are selling sizeable amounts of U.S. Treasury bonds, which forces Treasury yields higher. We […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

The Stock Bond Relationship Is Shifting Again

The top graph below charts stock prices and bond yields. The smaller graph below shows the rolling ten-day correlation of stocks (SPY) and bond yields (10-yr UST). The higher the correlation, the stronger the relationship between stock prices and bond yields. Conversely, the weaker the correlation, the more stocks and bond yields move in opposite […]

RIA Team 4 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

XOM Is Diversifying Well Beyond Oil

Yesterday we learned that Exxon (XOM) is in talks with Tesla, Ford, and Volkswagen about supplying lithium. If that headline caught you off guard, here is the back story. Earlier this year, XOM bought the drilling rights for 120k acres of land in the Smackover formation, as shown below. The purpose is not shale oil, […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

Are The Treasury and Fed Managing Market Liquidity?

The federal debt cap was lifted on June 3, 2023. The Treasury immediately flooded the markets with large debt issuance to meet its massive borrowing needs. Most investors presumed market liquidity would decline as net positive Treasury issuance pulls money from other investments. As shown below, the Treasury has since added about $450 billion to […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Sentiment Index Increases As Stock Prices Rise Newsletter
— Newsletter · 3 years ago

Sentiment Index Increases As Stock Prices Rise

As stock prices continue to push higher, investor and consumer sentiment indexes have also risen. As we will discuss in today's commentary, such should be expected. However, that increase in the sentiment index is also working against the Fed. Such is something Jerome Powell noted this past week during his testimony before Congress. Combined with the Fed's comments that more rate hikes are likely coming, continued weak economic data and persistent inflationary pressures weighed on the markets this week. As noted last week, such was unsurprising.

Lance Roberts 13 min read
Recession Alert Confirmed By NFIB Newsletter
— Newsletter · 3 years ago

Recession Alert Confirmed By NFIB

The latest NFIB data sends a recession alert, and the inflation data will likely keep the Fed on pause for now. However, the stock market hopes for a return to monetary accommodation. Unfortunately, both can't be right.

Lance Roberts 18 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

Is TLT Signalling Coming SPY Weakness?

Throughout 2022, higher bond yields scared off equity investors. Such a relationship is not surprising given how much yields rose last year and the fact that higher yields do not bode well for profit margins or valuations. The graph below highlights the strong correlation between TLT and SPY. Our circular highlights show the local peaks […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

Oil Prices Surge on OPEC Cut

In a surprise announcement Sunday morning, OPEC cut oil production by 1.15 million barrels per day (bpd). Per OPEC, the cuts aim to support stability in the oil market. Since December, crude oil prices have oscillated between $70 and $82 a barrel. In mid-March, it broke the range falling to $64 a barrel. A break […]

RIA Team 5 min read