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Prediction For 2025 Using Valuation Levels
It’s that time of year when Wall Street polishes up its crystal balls and predicts next...
Permabull? Hardly.
I never thought someone would label me a “Permabull.” This is particularly true of the...
Economic Indicators And The Trajectory Of Earnings
Understanding the trajectory of corporate earnings is crucial for investors, as these earnings...
Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching.
While analysts are currently very optimistic about the market, the combined risk of high valuations...
The Kalecki Profit Equation And The Coming Reversion
Corporations are currently producing the highest level of profitability, as a percentage of GDP, in...
Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes
Financial markets often move in cycles where enthusiasm drives prices higher, sometimes far beyond...
Credit Spreads: The Markets Early Warning Indicators
Credit spreads are critical to understanding market sentiment and predicting potential stock market...
“Trumpflation” Risks Likely Overstated
With the re-election of President Donald Trump, the worries about tariffs and pro-business policies...
Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems
Following President Trump’s re-election, the S&P 500 has seen an impressive surge,...
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