Bull Bear Report Stock-Bond Correlation: Oil Broke The Hedge. Oil Will Fix It. Daily Market Commentary Meta Splits: The Buyback Machine Shifts To Reverse Blog Fed Over-Tightening: How Much Runway Is Left Before It Bites? Daily Market Commentary Why Small Caps Have Recently Traded Like A Bond Proxy Blog Are Bonds Pricing In A Fed Policy Mistake? Daily Market Commentary Neoclouds And Hyperscalers: Same Concept, Different Risks Daily Market Commentary The Misleading Tech Sell-Off Daily Market Commentary Warsh Says Little: Market Hears Hold Blog AI Capex And Earnings: What Happens When Growth Slows Bull Bear Report Pimco Sees A 6% 10-Year. Here’s Why “Bad Inflation” Caps Yields
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Sunday — October 25, 2026
Houston, Texas
Search Results

lance roberts

1,313 results found

Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

Student Loans Set For Repayment Will Dampen The Economy

Starting last Friday, interest began accruing on student loans, and on October 1, payments will be due. Over three years ago, the CARES Act allowed student loan forbearance until September 2020. It was ultimately extended multiple times. As payments begin, the weight of student loan payments will dampen consumption and economic activity. The question is- […]

RIA Team 6 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

JOLTS And ADP – A Jobs Preview

Tuesday’s JOLTS report and Wednesday’s ADP point to a sudden weakening of the labor markets. The JOLTS report (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) produced by the BLS showed the number of job openings fell by 338k to 8.8 million. As shown below, job openings are falling almost as rapidly as they rose in 2020 […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Inflation And Deficits And QT, Oh My -Part 2 Economics
— Economics · 3 years ago

Inflation And Deficits And QT, Oh My -Part 2

Part one of this article discusses the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China and Japan might take. These large U.S. Treasury bondholders could temporarily upset the Treasury market, but as we opined, we do not think they threaten our forecast for lower yields. Like China and Japan, inflation, deficits, and QT are stories […]

Michael Lebowitz 6 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

Retailers Are Struggling Hinting At Weakening Consumers

Retailers did well over the last few years as consumers were flush with savings. Reduced spending during the early parts of the pandemic, coupled with stimulus and other benefits from the government, led to abundant consumer savings and a spending surge. In Department Stores Are Maxed Out, the Wall Street Journal says the tide may […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

MACD Bounce To New Highs?

The MACD, or moving average convergence divergence, is a well-followed technical indicator that helps spot changes in the momentum and strength of a trend. The MACD is the difference between a longer and shorter-term moving average, while its signal is a shorter-term moving average. Like any technical indicator, it is not perfect, but the MACD […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

Chair Powell Says Nothing New

The much-anticipated speech by Chair Powell at the annual Fed Jackson Hole Symposium shed little new light on the course of monetary policy. Chair Powell opened the address by stressing their number one goal: “It is the Fed’s job to bring inflation down to our 2 percent goal, and we will do so.” His statement […]

RIA Team 6 min read
Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher Economics
— Economics · 3 years ago

Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher

Fitch’s recent downgrade of the U.S. debt rating alarmed investors as the deficit and debt steadily increased. The downgrade sent 10-year Treasury bond yields above 4%, causing concern about America’s deteriorating financial condition. The problem is that if radical steps aren’t taken to curb spending, such will cause interest rates to rise. To wit: “The […]

Lance Roberts 7 min read
Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 3 years ago

Philly Fed Slowdown In The Service Sector

As we have discussed for the better part of the year, the national and Fed manufacturing surveys signal economic contraction, while the service sectors (non-manufacturing) remain strong. Thus far, the service sectors have offset the weakness in manufacturing. Given the service sector is much larger than manufacturing, we have keyed on the sector for indications […]

RIA Team 4 min read
Stock Market Rally Coming? And Investing In 2024. Invest
— Invest · 3 years ago

Stock Market Rally Coming? And Investing In 2024.

Is a stock market rally coming? I think that is most likely the case. However, to understand why, we must review what we said at the beginning of July in “Complacency Seems Overly Complacent.” With bullish optimism quickly returning to the market, the pressure to chase performance from the “Fear Of Missing Out” will continue to provide […]

Lance Roberts 6 min read