“Investor Psychology” is chapter 2 of a 5-part series examining the narratives around...
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Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong
A 5% long bond isn’t the crisis, it’s the receipt, and the fifteen years when money was...
Three Percent Real TIPS Yields: Boring But Valuable
Would you consider investing in a bond that earns more than three percent after accounting for...
Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)
“Think Like An Investor” is chapter 1 of a 5-part series examining the narratives...
Yen Intervention Narrative: What’s True And Not
Japan didn’t just spark a currency crisis; it reminded everyone that the Fed has quietly...
Lacy Hunt Turns Bearish Bonds: Studying His Reversal
Economist Lacy Hunt has been a bond bull longer than most money managers have been in the business....
Earnings Drive Both Bull & Bear Markets
“Earnings drive market outcomes. In 151 years, every single 20% market decline was...
Sound Money: Be Careful What You Wish For
A return to sound money has become the rallying cry for a growing crowd of investors, politicians,...
Hidden Debt: Is Our Hyperscaler Thesis Wrong – Part 2
Having just published Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit, a reader pointed us to an article from Nikkei...
Bonds In Your Portfolio: Why Ditching Them Is The Wrong Move
Lately, it seems like you can’t open a financial publication without stumbling across another...
AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong
The AI “bear case” isn’t one argument; it’s three. Burry on earnings....
Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?
“Carnage in hyperscaler bond land”, claims the Tweet below. The graph below the Tweet shows...
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