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Scenarios For 2025

Over the past couple of weeks and into the next few weeks, you will likely be inundated with economic forecasts and stock market scenarios for 2025. We do not want to add to your pile of scenarios, but we think […]

Sentimentrader Highlights Bad Market Breadth

Bad market breadth seems to be a hallmark of the rally off of the 2022 lows. Simply, very few stocks are leading markets higher, while many stocks languish. Consider that the equal-weighted S&P 500 index (RSP) is up 3.70% since […]

Meta And The BOE Lead Markets Lower

Stocks traded lower Thursday in large part due to Meta (Facebook) and the Bank of England (BOE). Meta fell short on earnings while losing subscribers, and the BOE raised interest rates by 0.25%. Losing a quarter of its value on […]

UPS Helps The S&P 500 To A Third Straight Gain

Shares of UPS rose 15% on Tuesday after reporting better than expected earnings. In addition, UPS increased its dividend by 49% to $1.52 per share and issued positive forward guidance. Inflation does not appear to be hindering UPS’s ability to […]

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Margin Balances Suggests Risks Are Building

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, and our 401k plan manager tool.

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The Stability-Instability Paradox

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, and our 401k plan manager tool.

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The Clock Has No Hands

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, and our 401k plan manager tool.

Emerging Junk in Demand

Bloomberg wrote a fascinating article showing that the speculative environment gripping crypto markets and some stocks has spread to the junkiest of junk bonds. Their article, Traders Asking “Why Not?” Rush Into Venezuela and Lebanon Bonds, speaks to “a massive […]

Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing

Corporate buybacks have become a hot topic, drawing criticism from regulators and policymakers. In recent years, Washington, D.C., has considered proposals to tax or limit them. Historically, buybacks were banned as a form of market manipulation, but in 1982, the […]