Equity Supply Surge: What Historically Comes Next
This past week, the market hit an all-time high. At the same time, Alphabet (GOOG) told investors it would raise $80 billion by selling stock to fund its AI buildout, and the shares fell about 4% on the news. Within days, […]
Risk Management For Retirees: When To Reduce Exposure
Last week, a viewer of the Morning Show emailed me about risk management for retirees. He asked the single most important question retirees face, and rarely get a straight answer to. “From an already retired perspective, and as one whose […]
15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game
The rather “Pavlovian” response to Central Bank interventions has led investors into a false sense of security with respect to the risk being undertaken. Here are the 15-investing rules to win the long-game.
Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete
After three decades of watching market cycles play out from both sides of the trade, I’ve come to a simple conclusion: Wall Street’s love of simple rules is one of the most dangerous aspects of investing. When stocks fall 10%, […]
Buffett Cash Hoard: Why $397 Billion Sits On The Sidelines
$397 billion. That’s how much “Buffett cash” now sits on Berkshire Hathaway’s balance sheet after Greg Abel’s first quarter as CEO. Warren Buffett left $373 billion behind when he stepped down at the end of 2025. Three months later, after Abel’s […]
Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already
The parabolic semiconductor rally crossed a line this week. SOXX, the iShares Semiconductor ETF, closed Friday at $509.77 after touching a fresh intraday high of $511.68. That’s a gain of roughly 244% from the April 2025 low of $148.31. Most […]
Market Correction Risk: Why Summer 2026 Looks Risky
Collapsing breadth. Stretched positioning. The worst seasonal window of the year. The worst year of the political cycle. And a war that won’t end. Market correction risk is stacking up. The S&P 500 hit a fresh record high last week. […]
Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock
As of this writing, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed since February 28. Roughly 20% of the world’s seaborne oil stopped moving through the chokepoint. The International Energy Agency described the event as “the largest supply disruption in the […]
Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake
The Iran shock erased 18% from valuations and fully recovered in two weeks. Investors who panicked missed it all. Here’s what the market lesson is about: risk management, behavior, and what to do with your portfolio right now. The stock […]