Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors
Margin debt just set another record. In May 2026, investors owed their brokers a combined $1.42 trillion, the highest in history and a 53.7% jump from the prior year.1 Every time this number prints a new high, the same charts circulate: margin […]
Record Retail Inflows: Where Is All The Money Coming From?
A couple of weeks ago, I showed Adam Taggart the following chart of record retail levels of household cash as a percentage of total financial assets. This chart is hard to square with the financial media narratives. For example, two […]
The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed
Here’s the setup most investors are underrating right now. Over the next two weeks, the tape will trade on plumbing rather than fundamentals. We just cleared the largest options expiration in history. Quarter-end pension selling comes next, and then July […]
Bull Market Pullback: Why The 4.5% Dip Held The 50-DMA
Key Takeaways Two weeks ago, after the S&P 500 logged its ninth consecutive weekly gain, we discussed that a bull market pullback was coming. It came. From the May 27 record near 7,621, the index slid 4.5% and bottomed almost […]
Equity Supply Surge: What Historically Comes Next
This past week, the market hit an all-time high. At the same time, Alphabet (GOOG) told investors it would raise $80 billion by selling stock to fund its AI buildout, and the shares fell about 4% on the news. Within days, […]
Risk Management For Retirees: When To Reduce Exposure
Last week, a viewer of the Morning Show emailed me about risk management for retirees. He asked the single most important question retirees face, and rarely get a straight answer to. “From an already retired perspective, and as one whose […]
15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game
The rather “Pavlovian” response to Central Bank interventions has led investors into a false sense of security with respect to the risk being undertaken. Here are the 15-investing rules to win the long-game.
Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete
After three decades of watching market cycles play out from both sides of the trade, I’ve come to a simple conclusion: Wall Street’s love of simple rules is one of the most dangerous aspects of investing. When stocks fall 10%, […]
Buffett Cash Hoard: Why $397 Billion Sits On The Sidelines
$397 billion. That’s how much “Buffett cash” now sits on Berkshire Hathaway’s balance sheet after Greg Abel’s first quarter as CEO. Warren Buffett left $373 billion behind when he stepped down at the end of 2025. Three months later, after Abel’s […]