The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.
The Federal Reserve is throwing the kitchen sink at trying to save the bond market as unemployment is set to explode to the highest levels since the Financial Crisis.
Using CAPE to better assess how far stock prices can rise or fall.
With a global recession underway, there are too many uncontrollable risks currently to maintain high levels of equity exposures. With the long-term bull trend now broken, cash is king.
With a global recession underway, there are too many uncontrollable risks currently to maintain high levels of equity exposures. With the long-term bull trend now broken, cash is king.
The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.
Will the Federal Reserve's influx of liquidity revive the bulls "animal spirits?" Maybe, but it likely won't "cure" what ails the market. However, the Federal Reserve, and Central Banks globally, are not going to quietly into the night. Expect more stimulus, more liquidity, and more rate cuts. If that doesn't work, expect more until it does.
The action this year is reminiscent of previous market topping processes. Tops are hard to identify during the process as “change happens slowly.” But when the process completes, it will seem as if the change occurred “all at once.”
Dual economic shocks are underway simultaneously. There are shortages of some things and lack of demand for others.