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CFNAI: The Most Important & Overlooked Economic Number
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is arguably one of the most important and...
Bond Bear Market. Is It Dead, Or Just Hibernating?
Is the bond bear market finally over? That is the question everyone is asking now that bond prices...
Job And Retail Sales Data: Always Good Until They Aren’t
The recent #MacroView blog noted economists are increasingly confident the economy will avoid a...
Investing Rules To Navigate Volatile Markets
While often difficult, investing rules can help us maintain our focus and investment discipline in...
Economists No Longer Expect A Recession. Are They Right?
Economists no longer expect a recession. Such was according to a recent WSJ survey of Wall Street...
The Pain Trade Is Higher Into Year-End
The “pain trade” continues to be higher into year-end. We made Such a point...
Restrictive Yields Will Be The Fed’s Waterloo
Restrictive monetary conditions, from higher yields and tighter lending conditions, are the...
Crisis Events Are A Hallmark Of The Federal Reserve
As the “soft landing” narrative grows, the risk of a “crisis” event in the...
Bond Valuations Are Cheap.
Bond valuations are cheap. Psychology in markets is always fascinating. In February 2009, I wrote...
Fund Flows And Bond Yields. Two Different Stories
While bond yields have risen sharply lately, fund flows into bonds tell two very different stories....
Government Shutdown Averted. But Is That A Good Thing?
Once again, due to the ongoing lack of fiscal responsibility in Washington, the markets and the...
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