The commodity supercycle thesis is everywhere right now. Bank of America's Michael Hartnett, one of...
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Gold Bugs Faulty Thesis: M2 and Inflation
Gold bugs often claim that when more dollars are in circulation, each dollar buys less; prices...
Market Correction Risk: Why Summer 2026 Looks Risky
Collapsing breadth. Stretched positioning. The worst seasonal window of the year. The worst year of...
A Robot Economy: Who Gets Rich, Who Gets Left Behind
Robots are coming to the economy. It is inevitable, really, and there is nothing that will stop it....
BDCs: Not All Yield Is Created Equal
Gated funds, collateral fraud, and auto-sector defaults are giving investors in private credit...
Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock
As of this writing, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed since February 28. Roughly 20%...
Government Debt: Not What The Doom Crowd Thinks It Is
Every few years, someone discovers that the United States government owes a very large amount of...
GFC 2.0 Or False Alarm Part 2
In Part One, we explored how leverage and derivatives turned subprime mortgages into a crisis that...
Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake
The Iran shock erased 18% from valuations and fully recovered in two weeks. Investors who panicked...
BLS Jobs Report Is Broken. Is There A Better Measure?
"March's 178,000 BLS jobs report came in nearly three times Wall Street's 60,000 estimate. Markets...
Will Private Credit Cause The Next Financial Crisis?
Believe it or not, it’s been 18 years since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Despite many...
S&P 500 Outlook: The 8.2% Rally & What Comes Next.
Over the last few weeks, we have published real-time market commentary as the correction proceeded....
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