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A Bear Market Is A Good Thing.
One of my favorite writers for the WSJ is Spencer Jakab, who recently penned an article explaining...
Market Bubbles: A Rational Guide To An Irrational Market
We’re hearing it everywhere: AI is in a bubble. The surge in capital, the parabolic stock charts,...
Capex Spending On AI Is Masking Economic Weakness
The U.S. economy’s recent growth has a distinctive engine: large‑scale capital expenditures...
How The Fed Deals Liquidity: The Monetary Toolbox
In our last article, QE Is Coming, we focused on why the capital and financial markets have become...
Full Market Cycles: Half Bull and Half Bear
Last week, we discussed the importance of “math” as it relates to valuations and noted...
Economic Reacceleration: A Contrarian View
Over the past two weeks, we’ve addressed a persistent question: if the data signals weakness, why...
QE Is Coming: The 2008 Roots Of Fed Dominance
Here we go again. The overnight funding markets are showing signs of stress, and the scent of QE is...
Forward Return And The Importance Of Math
During strongly trending bull markets, investors often overlook the importance of math in...
“Money Printing” By The Fed: Fact Or Fiction?
I recently penned an article on "Money Supply Growth," which elicited a very thoughtful response...
Nvidia Deals: Round Tripping Or Vendor Financing?
“Nvidia takes a $1 billion stake in Nokia” reads a recent CNBC headline. As part of the...
Investor Dilemma: Pavlov Rings The Bell
Classical conditioning teaches us a valuable lesson regarding the current investor dilemma....
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