In Our Elevator Pitch For Bonds, we ask, “is this time different.” Our view of...
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October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?
While September has been a bit sloppy so far, will further weakness in October weigh on investor...
Bond Vigilantes And The Waiting For Godot
The term “Bond Vigilantes” is a nostalgic twist on an old-west theme. In the nineteenth...
The Lag Effect Unveiled
Despite surging interest rates, there are few signs they are impeding economic activity or causing...
Predictions Are Pointless. Why You Shouldn’t Listen To Gurus.
โ(Market) Predictions Are DifficultโฆEspecially When They Are About The Futureโ โ Niels...
Economic Data Points Diverge
Since the beginning of the year, economic data has continued to defy the recession calls of 2022....
Risk Free Government Debt – Fact or Fiction
Most investors believe that U.S. government debt is risk free. Why shouldn't they, every economic...
Mega-Cap Stocks Continue To Dominate. But Why?
Mega-cap stocks continue to dominate the market in 2023. The question is, why? After all, many...
Powell’s Speech Obfuscates The Truth Behind Inflation
Powell’s recent Jackson Hole Summit speech was mainly as expected. Well, except for the part...
Inflation And Deficits And QT, Oh My -Part 2
Part one of this article discusses the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China...
10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market
About once a year, I have to address the issue of chasing the “10 Best Days” of the...
Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher
Fitch’s recent downgrade of the U.S. debt rating alarmed investors as the deficit and debt...
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