The “pain trade” continues to be higher into year-end. We made Such a point...
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Restrictive Yields Will Be The Fed’s Waterloo
Restrictive monetary conditions, from higher yields and tighter lending conditions, are the...
Bond Market Noise Hides Tremendous Opportunity
Treasury yield levels are overwhelmingly a function of inflation. However, in the short run, a...
Crisis Events Are A Hallmark Of The Federal Reserve
As the “soft landing” narrative grows, the risk of a “crisis” event in the...
Bond Valuations Are Cheap.
Bond valuations are cheap. Psychology in markets is always fascinating. In February 2009, I wrote...
Fund Flows And Bond Yields. Two Different Stories
While bond yields have risen sharply lately, fund flows into bonds tell two very different stories....
From LTCM To 1966. The Perils Of Rising Interest Rates
Based on some comments, it appears we scared a few people with A Crisis Is Coming. Our article...
Government Shutdown Averted. But Is That A Good Thing?
Once again, due to the ongoing lack of fiscal responsibility in Washington, the markets and the...
“Soft Landing” Hope By The Fed Is Likely Optimistic
The Fed’s “soft landing” hopes are likely overly optimistic. Such was the context...
A Crisis Is Coming: Who Is Swimming Naked?
We recently wrote The Lag Effect Unveiled to appreciate why it takes time for higher interest rates...
Compound Market Returns Are A Myth?
"Compound market returns." During bullish markets, there is inevitably a regurgitation of this myth...
“That 70s Show”
The hit TV series “That 70s Show” aired from 1998 to 2006 and focused on six teenage...
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