Will the Federal Reserve’s influx of liquidity revive the bulls “animal spirits?” Maybe, but it likely won’t “cure” what ails the market. However, the Federal Reserve, and Central Banks globally, are not going to quietly into the night. Expect more stimulus, more liquidity, and more rate cuts. If that doesn’t work, expect more until it does.
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Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
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The market melts down just shortly after melting up as fears of the coronavirus combined with an oil shock shake investor confidence. We answer the 3-big questions investors want to know now.
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Defining and better understanding outcome-based investment strategies versus process-based strategies
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The action this year is reminiscent of previous market topping processes. Tops are hard to identify during the process as “change happens slowly.” But when the process completes, it will seem as if the change occurred “all at once.”
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The idea of “passive indexing” sounds harmless enough, buy an “index” and be an “average” investor. However, it isn’t as simple as that. The biggest risk to investors is when “passive indexers” turn into “panic sellers.”
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Dual economic shocks are underway simultaneously. There are shortages of some things and lack of demand for others.
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The simultaneous double-digit declines for the stock markets of four of the world’s developed countries was an ominous event. Based on empirical data the probability is 100% the US, German, Japanese and Canadian stock markets will decline by 34% from their 2020 highs
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In January we asked if this was going to be a repeat of 2018 as a strong start wound up wiping out all the gains. Well, we now know the answer. The question is what happens next, what should you do, and is the worst behind us.
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It seems like the sky is falling, it always does when we get into one of these environments, but fret not we’ve been here before. The question is what will you do different this time around?
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Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
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Our modern economic policy framework is not designed for inflation, nor are many people even thinking about it as a possibility. That is a black swan.
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On the road to personal financial milestones, investors aspire to reach multiple destinations that are important to them – whether it’s saving for a college education or retirement, we all seek to assess the risks. Here’s three to avoid.
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The market rally on Monday was the expected reflexive bounce we discussed in this past weekend’s newsletter. The question now is how far it will go, should you buy it, and what you should expect next. The risks are high; a retest of the recent lows will come sooner rather than later.
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For years, Warren Buffett has told investors to buy an index fund and hold it, as stocks should outperform bonds in the future. While Buffett holds $128 billion in Bonds, is this a classic case of “do as I say, not as I do.” It cost his investors $90 billion over the last decade.
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J. Brett Freeze, CFA, founder of Global Technical Analysis. Each month Brett will provide you…
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In January we asked if this was going to be a repeat of 2018 as a strong start wound up wiping out all the gains. Well, we now know the answer. The question is what happens next, what should you do, and is the worst behind us.
>> Read More
Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
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While the work of toiling on individual company analyses can be a lonely endeavor, especially while passive strategies remain in the spotlight, it is also a valid way to extract decent returns from an otherwise overvalued universe of options.
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Current analysis suggests a “no recession” scenario but is based on lagging economic data which is highly subject to negative revisions. The stock market, however, is a strong leading indicator and returns are typically favorable until about 6-months prior to the start of a recession.
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The Fed and markets are confident and complacent despite a laundry list of risks and problems that are only getting bigger.
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When it comes to investing it’s never different this time; nor, however, is it ever the same. This difficult-to-navigate paradox creates a scarcity of longevity. Today’s persistently low yield environment has upped the ante and put many marquis names out of business.
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On Monday, the market suffered the sharpest one day decline we have seen since 2018. Is this another “buy the dip” opportunity or is it a bigger correction in the making? The question is now that the markets have woken up to the coronavirus how much has been priced in?
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In a world of adjusted earnings, where every company is way above average, every quarter, investors quickly lose sight of what matters most in investing. “Price is what you pay, value is what you get.” – Warren BuffettImaginary worlds are nice, it’s just impossible to live there.
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The Fed recognizes ongoing monetary interventions have created financial risks in the terms of asset bubbles across multiple asset classes. They are also aware the majority of policy tools are likely ineffective at mitigating financial risks in the future. This leaves them dependent on expanding their balance sheet which may not be as effective as they hope.
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Why Dave Ramsey is right, but also VERY wrong about the use of Permanent Life insurance in your financial and retirement planning process. You could be leaving a LOT of tax-free income on the table for your retirement.
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Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
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What’s up with inflation? The Fed spent three years tightening into a low inflation, low growth U.S. economy, and the global economy was too fragile to handle the liquidity and tightening drain. What are commodities telling us now?
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A recent article from Institutional investor decode “fund manager speak” when you see them on financial media. Here are some steps to improve you investing and avoid the noise.
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With so many assets having historically expensive valuations, it is a difficult time to be an optimist. One just has to hold their nose and get a little dirty to find value using yield and duration
in the fixed income markets.
