“Enormous Uncerntainty.” Such is despite a surging stock market from the March lows, trillions in liquidity support from the Fed, and a rebound in economic activity. So, what’s the problem?
>> Read More
Over the last month, the Federal Reserve, and the Government, have unleashed a torrent of liquidity into the U.S. markets to offset a credit crisis of historic proportions.While investors have been trained to “not fight the Fed,” what if the “Fed” is throwing money into a “debt chasm” they can’t fill.
>> Read More
Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
>> Read More
The darkening mood is not surprising. The Fed has great faith in surveys and expectations except when they contradict Fed group think. This applies even to its own surveys.
>> Read More
Executives will not hire until they see sustainable sales growth and employees will not spend until they feel confident about their job future
>> Read More
For now, my life depends on NYC’s fate. I neither want to witness its destruction nor miss its renaissance. This is a trade I want to get right. So what’s it going to be New York? It’s up to you (us).
>> Read More
Many investors, especially those with limited investment experience, are declaring that value investing is dead. But, Is? Or, does it offer incredible value versus growth in today’s markets?
>> Read More
The market correction continued on Monday as markets realized no “fiscal support” is coming following the death of Justice Ginsberg. Risk is elevated, as investors and the Fed are trapped by a Congress at odds with each other.
>> Read More
While many investors quickly dismiss the performance gap between value and growth as “this time is different,” it has important longer-term implications. We discuss value, the margin of safety, and the real art of “doing nothing.”
>> Read More
I have previously discussed the importance of understanding how “physics” plays a crucial role in the stock market. As Sir Issac Newton once discovered, “what goes up, must come down.”
>> Read More
Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
>> Read More
In this article, we give a blind taste test to show you how the lack of discernment, blindly picking stocks based on cache, and yesterday’s momentum is winning out over the logic of maximizing value through prudent intellectual rigor.
>> Read More
Is everything “priced in?” Investors have gone “all in” with a disregard for caution. But with markets extended and overvalued what should investors do now?
>> Read More
Since March was not a “bear market,” but just a correction within the ongoing bull market that started in 2009. As such, the 5-ingredients for another market “event” remains.
>> Read More
During extended bull markets, rationalization becomes commonplace to justify overpaying for value. One such rationalization is the permanent shift in valuations higher. But is it true,.
>> Read More
Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
>> Read More
The passive investing phenomenon of indiscriminately chasing the popular stocks and the largest companies is leaving behind some gems
>> Read More
Over the last few months, the markets have become engulfed by a palpable feeling of exuberance. I remember the last time investors were engulfed in a near “panic” to invest. It was 1998.
>> Read More
An examination of the exodus from real estate and markets as the pandemic changes lives and innovation allows for the move to suburbs.
>> Read More
While the August jobs report was better than expected, a litany of discrepancies cast serious doubt on the report and the strength of the recovery.
>> Read More
Based on new empirical research findings the Dow Jones 30 (Dow) composite index is likely to soon peak and begin a steady decline to new lows in 2020 or 2021.
>> Read More
At the recent Jackson Hole Economic Summit, Jerome Powell unveiled the Fed’s new monetary policy designed to create inflation. Unfortunately, there are 5-reasons why the Fed will not get inflation, and why deflation is the bigger risk.
>> Read More
Here is what you might have missed from the RIA Crew last week. A compilation of our best blogs, newsletter, podcasts, the daily radio show and commentary from RIAPRO.NET.
>> Read More
Financial plans are failing along with the economy. In part-1 we review the retirment mistakes that investors are making and the fules to follow.
>> Read More
Gamma Flip is such an under followed metric but so important to better manage risk.
>> Read More
S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review. A deep dive into the fundamentals which drive long-term returns from J. Breet Freeze.
>> Read More
The business media characterizes the labor market as “better than expected.” The reality is that it is “ugly but improving.” Read this article for a dose of reality.
>> Read More
Technically speaking, margin debt has been fueling the market as the recent mania has driven markets to record highs. However, therein also lies the risk of the next correction.
>> Read More
The “rationalization” that low rates justify high valuations is but one of several arguments used to justify overpaying for value in a late-stage bull market. But is it true?
>> Read More
The probability of a “V-shaped” economic recovery is very low.
For Q2-2020, US GDP experienced its worst-ever contraction of 32%. The key question is how fast will it recover?
