Daily Market Commentary Are REITS Right For A Bond Rally? Blog Worried Consumers Keep Spending: Here’s Why Daily Market Commentary An Incalculable Concept That Is Misleading The Fed Daily Market Commentary A Rising Dollar Becomes A Headwind Daily Market Commentary Jobs Recovery Or One-Off Blip? Blog Sequence Of Return Risk: The Math That Breaks Retirements Bull Bear Report Q4 Market Outlook: Strong Years Usually Finish Strong Daily Market Commentary Can Anthropic Outearn Its Obligations? Blog Price Of Happiness: Missing The Things That Matter Daily Market Commentary The Swap Market Says Treasury And AI Debt Is Not A Problem
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Thursday — October 8, 2026
Houston, Texas

Category: Invest

Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors

Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors

By Lance Roberts, Jul 6, 2026

Margin debt just set another record. In May 2026, investors owed their brokers a combined $1.42 trillion, the highest in history and a 53.7% jump from the prior year.1 Every time this number prints a new high, the same charts circulate: margin debt against GDP, against M2, against the total value of the market. They look authoritative. […]

More Market Wisdom: Jesse Livermore Part 2

More Market Wisdom: Jesse Livermore Part 2

By Michael Lebowitz, Jul 1, 2026

In Part One, we shared some market wisdom from one of the greatest traders, Jessie Livermore.  While Livermore’s name is not always mentioned alongside other great investors and analysts, such as Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch, his sage advice is priceless. Interestingly, much of what Livermore teaches his readers runs counter to what Warren Buffett […]

Record Retail Inflows: Where Is All The Money Coming From?

Record Retail Inflows: Where Is All The Money Coming From?

By Lance Roberts, Jun 29, 2026

A couple of weeks ago, I showed Adam Taggart the following chart of record retail levels of household cash as a percentage of total financial assets. This chart is hard to square with the financial media narratives. For example, two stories ran side by side this month, and on the surface, they cannot both be […]

Jesse Livermore: Old Lessons For Todays Markets

Jesse Livermore: Old Lessons For Todays Markets

By Michael Lebowitz, Jun 24, 2026

In 1891, at 14 years old, with nothing but the clothes on his back, Jesse Livermore left his family and headed to Boston. He quickly found a job posting stock quotes at a Paine Webber brokerage office. Livermore spent his lunch hours trading in “bucket shops,” loosely regulated offices where ordinary people bet on stock […]

The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed

The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed

By Lance Roberts, Jun 22, 2026

Here’s the setup most investors are underrating right now. Over the next two weeks, the tape will trade on plumbing rather than fundamentals. We just cleared the largest options expiration in history. Quarter-end pension selling comes next, and then July 1 reopens the passive-money firehose into a market that already routes forty cents of every […]

Bull Market Pullback: Why The 4.5% Dip Held The 50-DMA

Bull Market Pullback: Why The 4.5% Dip Held The 50-DMA

By Lance Roberts, Jun 15, 2026

Key Takeaways Two weeks ago, after the S&P 500 logged its ninth consecutive weekly gain, we discussed that a bull market pullback was coming. It came. From the May 27 record near 7,621, the index slid 4.5% and bottomed almost exactly on its 50-day moving average before ripping back to close Friday at 7,431.46. That […]

The IPO Boom: Where Will The Money Come From?

The IPO Boom: Where Will The Money Come From?

By Michael Lebowitz, Jun 10, 2026

The media hype surrounding SpaceX’s upcoming mid-June initial public offering (IPO) is immense. The company recently filed its S-1 with the SEC, targeting a valuation of $1.75 trillion and a capital raise of up to $75 billion. Some believe its valuation could rise to $2 trillion after the IPO. In its wake, Anthropic (Claude) and […]

Equity Supply Surge: What Historically Comes Next

Equity Supply Surge: What Historically Comes Next

By Lance Roberts, Jun 8, 2026

This past week, the market hit an all-time high. At the same time, Alphabet (GOOG) told investors it would raise $80 billion by selling stock to fund its AI buildout, and the shares fell about 4% on the news. Within days, SpaceX is reportedly set to price one of the largest IPOs ever attempted. If you want […]

Quantum Computing: Hype Or The Real Deal?

Quantum Computing: Hype Or The Real Deal?

By Michael Lebowitz, Jun 3, 2026

The word “quantum” is defined as “an amount,” with its Latin root meaning “how much.” In physics, a quantum is the smallest discrete unit of any physical property. The adjective form, as in “quantum leap,” describes a sudden, significant, and fundamental change. It is also a perfect adjective for coining the next potential technological innovation—quantum […]