Bull Bear Report The Fed Rate Hike Won’t Fix The Inflation It Targets Daily Market Commentary A Hike Like No Other Blog K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception Daily Market Commentary Another Hike By Year End And No Cuts On The Horizon Blog Has The Bond Market Already Done The Fed’s Job? Daily Market Commentary Fed Hikes: Then What? Daily Market Commentary Amodei Says Slow Down: Trump And China Say No Daily Market Commentary Weak Buyback & Strong Auctions: Bullish Signals For Bonds Blog Portfolio Risk Management: Winning The Long Game (Chapter 5) Bull Bear Report This Time Is Different? Earnings and Price Break 90-Year Trends
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Sunday — September 20, 2026
Houston, Texas

Category: Economics

Technological Advances Make Things Better – Or Does It?

Technological Advances Make Things Better – Or Does It?

By Lance Roberts, Sep 6, 2024

It certainly seems that technological advances make our lives better. Instead of writing a letter, stamping it, and mailing it (which was vastly more personal), we now send emails. Rather than driving to a local retailer or manufacturer, we order it online. Of course, we mustn’t dismiss the rise of social media, which connects us […]

Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising

Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising

By Lance Roberts, Aug 16, 2024

I was recently asked about the seemingly strong “economic growth” rate as the Federal Reserve prepares to start cutting rates. “If economic growth is so strong, as noted by the recent GDP report, then why would the Federal Reserve cut rates?” It’s a good question that got me thinking about the trend of economic growth, the debt, […]

UBI – Tried, Tested And Failed As Expected

UBI – Tried, Tested And Failed As Expected

By Lance Roberts, Aug 9, 2024

A Universal Basic Income (UBI) sounds great in theory. According to a previous study by the Roosevelt Institute, it could permanently increase the U.S. economy by trillions of dollars. While such socialistic policies sound great in theory, history, and data, they aren’t the economic saviors they are touted to be. What Is A Universal Basic Income (UBI) […]

The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators

The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators

By Lance Roberts, Aug 2, 2024

Economist Claudia Sahm developed the “Sahm Rule,” which states that the economy is in recession when the unemployment rate’s three-month average is a half percentage point above its 12-month low. As shown, the latest employment report has triggered that indicator. So, does this mean a recession is imminent? Maybe. However, we can now add this indicator […]

Electricity Demand May Cure Debt Concerns

Electricity Demand May Cure Debt Concerns

By Lance Roberts, May 31, 2024

The future of electricity demand for everything from electric cars to Bitcoin mining to artificial intelligence may also be the cure for our debt concerns. Before you dismiss that statement, let me explain. One of the bears’ primary arguments against the financial market and the economy’s health is what is perceived as the surging increase […]

No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation.

No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation.

By Lance Roberts, May 28, 2024

Corporate greed is not causing inflation, despite the claims of many on the political left who failed to understand the very basics of economic supply and demand. “If you take a look at what people have, they have the money to spend. It angers them and angers me that you have to spend more. It’s […]

The Risk Of Recession Isn’t Zero

The Risk Of Recession Isn’t Zero

By Lance Roberts, May 24, 2024

As we discussed recently, Wall Street economists increasingly believe the risk of recession has fallen sharply. To wit: “Economists don’t think the economy will get even close to a recession. In January, they, on average, forecast sub-1% growth in each of the first three quarters of this year. Now, they expect growth to bottom out this year […]

Immigration And Its Impact On Employment

Immigration And Its Impact On Employment

By Lance Roberts, Apr 12, 2024

Is immigration why employment reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continue defying mainstream economists’ estimates? Many are asking this question as the U.S. experiences a flood of immigrants across the southern border. Concurrently, many young college graduates continue to complain about the inability to receive a job offer. As noted recently by CNBC: […]

Wealth Gap And The Road To Serfdom

Wealth Gap And The Road To Serfdom

By Lance Roberts, Mar 29, 2024

One of the most interesting conundrums is the surging wealth gap in America. Despite two of the largest bull markets in history since 1980, most Americans struggle with making ends meet and are unprepared for retirement. Such a reality starkly differs from the belief that rising asset prices benefit the masses. For example, in a […]