Global Bond Yields Fret Inflation & Deficits
For those worried about the impact of deficits and inflation on US bond yields, it’s worth taking a trip around the world to get a better picture. Global bond yields for many of the world’s ten largest economies are behaving […]
The Ternus Era Begins At Apple
After 15 years of guiding Apple to become the largest US company by market cap, Tim Cook stepped down as Apple’s CEO effective September 1. In his place, John Ternus, the company’s hardware engineering chief since 2021, will become Apple’s […]
Wall Streets Verdict: Warsh Turned Hawkish
Because Warsh doesn’t believe in forward guidance, Friday’s Jackson Hole speech may be the last window investors get into his thinking before the September 16 FOMC meeting. Accordingly, it’s worth spending more time on his speech to see if Wall […]
Warsh Makes A Hawkish Pivot
Traditionally, the annual Jackson Hole Symposium is where the Fed Chair signals which economic forces are shaping the Fed’s thinking for the coming year. With a few members pushing for rate hikes and inflation making others anxious, the market is […]
Nvidia Revenue Growth Doubles
Nvidia reported record fiscal second-quarter results Wednesday with revenue more than doubling year over year to $96 billion. After initially falling on the news, the stock rose over 8% overnight. During the earnings call with analysts, CFO Colette Kress guided […]
Bitcoin Up 22%: Has The Halving Cycle Begun?
Bitcoin peaked a year ago, hitting an all-time high of $126,210 in October 2025, and has since fallen more than 50%, bottoming near $58,000 two months ago. The tide may be turning; over the last week, Bitcoin rose by over […]
Druckenmiller Has A Warning: Don’t Mess With Markets
Famed investor Stanley Druckenmiller published a Wall Street Journal opinion piece (Let The Bond Market Speak) on Monday, in which he warns Treasury Secretary Bessent about long-dated bond buybacks. His core thesis seems to rest on the paradox between Warsh’s […]
TGA Could Turn A Small Buyback Into A Market Mover
The Treasury General Account (TGA) is Treasury’s cash balance held at the Federal Reserve. Its balance is the net of cash inflows like tax receipts and outflows to pay the government’s bills. On Monday, we learned that Treasury Secretary Scott […]
Will Warsh Talk Down The Hawks At Jackson Hole?
Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed Chair on Friday, August 28, at the Kansas City Fed’s annual symposium in Wyoming. The meeting occurs less than three weeks before the September 16 FOMC decision. While the official […]