Rate Increase Expectations Are Starting To Fall
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 27, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryRate increase expectations for the Fed are starting to fall rapidly as recent evidence suggests…
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Market Fears Subside On Powell’s Testimony
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 24, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryMarket fears subsided a bit over the past couple of days as Powell testified before…
> Read MorePowell Admits Possibility of Recession; Dudley Claims It’s Inevitable
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 23, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryPowell testified before the Senate Banking Committee Wednesday morning. He reaffirmed the Fed’s commitment to…
> Read MoreWhen Will “The Bottom” Be In? History Points to the Fed
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 22, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe trillion-dollar question on nearly every investor’s mind lately is “When will the market bottom…
> Read MoreIs A Tradable Bottom In Sight?
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun 21, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe stock market is having its worst week since March 2020 when the Pandemic first…
> Read MorePhiladelphia Fed, Like Atlanta Fed, Signals Weakness
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 17, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryOn Wednesday, the Atlanta Fed revised its Q2 growth estimate to 0.0%. Yesterday, the Philadelphia…
> Read More75bps Of Shock and Awe Calms Markets
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 16, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryWhile the WSJ telegraphed the potential for a 75bps rate hike on Tuesday, the Fed’s…
> Read MoreInflation Expectations Are Flat- What Gives?
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 15, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe graph below shows that 5yr yields have risen over 2% in 2022. Many in…
> Read More2yr Treasury Yields Soar
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 14, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe graph below shows that 2yr Treasury yields rose 0.25% on Friday, the largest one-day…
> Read MoreCPI – Onward and Upward
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 13, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe BLS CPI Inflation report surprised the markets, coming in hotter than expected. The surprises…
> Read MoreCFO Survey Points To Recession Risk
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 10, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryIn Thursday’s Commentary, we share the World Bank’s warning about global stagflation. We follow up…
> Read MoreWorld Bank Warns of Global Stagflation
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 9, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe World Bank is out with a stern warning that the global economy may be…
> Read MoreTarget Warns Yet Again
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 8, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryIn our May 19 Commentary, we shared commentary from Target’s CEO regarding the earnings and…
> Read MoreVolatility Ahead: VIX Offers Caution To Investors
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 7, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryAs measured by VIX, Volatility has been elevated throughout the current downward trend. Such is…
> Read MorePayrolls Report Shows Strong Labor Market
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 6, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryUnlike the weakening ADP Employment report, the BLS payrolls report highlights a very healthy labor…
> Read MoreLael Brainard Squashes Talk of a “Stall”
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 3, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe following headline hit the wires Thursday morning: LAEL BRAINARD: VERY HARD TO SEE CASE…
> Read MoreThe QT Era Has Begun
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 2, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryYesterday the Federal Reserve began shrinking its balance sheet, kicking off a new QT era….
> Read MoreGerman Inflation Shock Pushes Yields Higher
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | Jun 1, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryRecent inflation data for Germany and Europe shocked economists on Monday, rising much more than…
> Read MorePCE Prices Offers Optimism Inflation Has Peaked
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 31, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryLike CPI, which was released two weeks ago, monthly PCE inflation was much lower than…
> Read MoreDid Nvidia Signal a Change in Sentiment?
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 27, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryNvidia (NVDA) joins a long list of companies that reported decent earnings but reduced their…
> Read MoreNew Home Sales Plunge – Recession Evidence Strengthens
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 26, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryNew home sales plummeted to an annualized rate of 591k, well below expectations of 750k….
> Read MoreSnap Stock Mishap!
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 25, 2022 | Daily Market CommentarySocial media company Snap’s stock fell over 40% in trading on Tuesday. Concerning us is…
> Read MoreBear Market Expectations
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 24, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryLast Friday, the S&P 500 briefly dipped to 3810, marking a 20.5% decline from its…
> Read MoreExxon and Energy Stocks Are On Fire
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 23, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryIt is no secret that Exxon and the energy sector, in general, have been the…
> Read MoreFinancial Instability- Junk Bond Spreads Perking Up
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 20, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe Fed pays a lot of attention to financial stability or market functioning, and they…
> Read MoreConsumers Are Struggling
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 19, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryAnother day and another stern warning that consumers are struggling. Below we provide details on…
> Read MoreWalmart Slumps As Inflation Takes Its Toll
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 18, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryWalmart posted earnings per share of $1.30, much weaker than expectations for $1.48. While the…
> Read MoreEmpire State Survey Warns of Economic Contraction
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 17, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe May New York Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey fell sharply into economic contraction levels…
> Read MoreStrong Finish to a Volatile Week for Stocks
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 16, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryThe S&P 500 capped off last week on a positive note with a rally to…
> Read MorePPI and CPI: Are They Peaking?
Written by Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts | May 13, 2022 | Daily Market CommentaryProducer prices (PPI) for April met expectations rising .5%. While .5% is a big monthly…
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