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Daily Market Commentary

Tariff Refunds Soften The Fed’s Passthrough Warning

According to an article published Wednesday in The Wall Street Journal, more than 40 S&P 500 companies have reported roughly $9.6 billion in tariff refunds. Apple leads at nearly $2.2 billion. Nike follows at $986 million, FedEx at about $800 […]

Wall Street To Support Data Center Growth

Nvidia announced an agreement with Wall Street heavies, Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs, and KKR. The six Wall Street firms will arrange more than $500 billion in third-party capital for AI infrastructure. The firms will create funding vehicles that […]

Abel Takes Charge at Berkshire Hathaway

Greg Abel just completed his first full quarter as the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, taking the throne from Warren Buffett. In his first earnings announcement, Abel sent strong signals of a strategic pivot. Most important of these, Berkshire repurchased $4.5 […]

Leveraged ETFs: Math Often Trumps Hype

The Tweet on the right below irresponsibly suggests that if SK Hynix shares double, as Cantor Fitzgerald’s $300 target implies, a 2x leveraged fund like SKHA offers “magnified exposure” to that outcome. Assuming the stock doubles, the leveraged trade ETF […]

BLS And ADP Reports Take Rate Hike Off The Table

The Friday BLS employment report showed the economy lost 23k jobs. Along with last Wednesday’s ADP report (+44k), the two reports suggest the spring pickup in job growth is stalling. Adding to the bad news, the BLS revised May and […]

AMD and SanDisk Set A High Bar For Nvidia

AMD and SanDisk (SNDK) delivered earnings beats this week, yet both stocks fell. AMD posted record revenue up 50% year over year, with data center revenue more than doubling. Its CEO Lisa Su said she expects “Data Center sales to […]

Palantir Earnings Provide Hope For The Software Sector

Software stocks have taken a beating this year on fears that AI will erode pricing power across the industry. While the fear may be genuine for some companies, Palantir posted earnings that told a vastly different story. To wit, its […]

The BEA Is Reformulating Its Key Inflation Gauge

According to A Statistical Revamp Is About To Lower Inflation by The Wall Street Journal, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is reformulating its Core PCE calculation. The markets seem to focus on CPI as its inflation gauge, while the […]

Bessent Is Buying Yen In Support Of US Bonds?

The US Treasury bought Japanese yen last Friday and again Monday morning in its first coordinated intervention in the currency since 2011, following Japan’s earthquake and tsunami. It is only the third such move since 1998. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent […]