Daily Market Commentary Dow Slides While Nasdaq Rallies: Omen Or Rotation? Blog Earnings Mean Reversion: When Estimates Snap Back Daily Market Commentary Low Jobless Claims Are ‘Half A Misnomer’ Bull Bear Report The Fed Rate Hike Won’t Fix The Inflation It Targets Daily Market Commentary A Hike Like No Other Blog K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception Daily Market Commentary Another Hike By Year End And No Cuts On The Horizon Blog Has The Bond Market Already Done The Fed’s Job? Daily Market Commentary Fed Hikes: Then What? Daily Market Commentary Amodei Says Slow Down: Trump And China Say No
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Tuesday — September 22, 2026
Houston, Texas
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223 results found

Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic Newsletter
— Newsletter · 5 months ago

Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at fresh all-time highs for the second consecutive week, with the broader index adding roughly 1.4% to finish near 7,330. Markets were led by communication services, energy, information technology, and consumer discretionary, while materials, industrials, and health care lagged. The geopolitical overhang defining the prior ten weeks is now background noise, and the market is trading on what it always ultimately trades on: earnings

Lance Roberts 24 min read
Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1) Economics
— Economics · 5 months ago

Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)

The commodity supercycle thesis is everywhere right now. Bank of America's Michael Hartnett, one of the most widely read strategists on Wall Street, recently declared "commodities the biggest trade of the next five years," anchoring the call on deglobalization, chronic capital underinvestment, and a world drifting away from dollar dominance.

Lance Roberts 13 min read
Market Correction Risk: Why Summer 2026 Looks Risky Invest
— Invest · 5 months ago

Market Correction Risk: Why Summer 2026 Looks Risky

Collapsing breadth. Stretched positioning. The worst seasonal window of the year. The worst year of the political cycle. And a war that won’t end. Market correction risk is stacking up. The S&P 500 hit a fresh record high last week. The median stock in the index is sitting 13% below its 52-week peak. That divergence is […]

Lance Roberts 11 min read
Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back? Newsletter
— Newsletter · 5 months ago

Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?

The market didn't just recover this week. It made new history. Monday opened with the S&P 500 erasing all losses since the Iran war began. The market rose 1% to its highest close since late February. Driving that rally were reports that Iran had reached out to the Trump administration despite a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The buying accelerated from there. By Wednesday, both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closed at fresh all-time highs. With investors pricing in an increasingly credible path to a permanent peace deal, the bulls regained control.

Lance Roberts 21 min read
BLS Jobs Report Is Broken. Is There A Better Measure? Economics
— Economics · 5 months ago

BLS Jobs Report Is Broken. Is There A Better Measure?

"March's 178,000 BLS jobs report came in nearly three times Wall Street's 60,000 estimate. Markets celebrated. Almost nobody mentioned the entire beat traced back to doctors returning from a strike and weather rebounds. That's not strength. That's noise — and it's a pattern we can no longer afford to ignore."

Lance Roberts 13 min read
Will Private Credit Cause The Next Financial Crisis? Invest
— Invest · 5 months ago

Will Private Credit Cause The Next Financial Crisis?

Believe it or not, it’s been 18 years since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Despite many detailed investigative reports on the events and even the popularity of The Big Short, a box-office hit and bestselling book, the role of subprime mortgages in the near-fatal collapse of the banking system remains a mystery to many investors. […]

Michael Lebowitz 6 min read
Q1 Earnings Season: Buy Or Fade The Rally? Newsletter
— Newsletter · 5 months ago

Q1 Earnings Season: Buy Or Fade The Rally?

Five weeks of losses, one ceasefire announcement, and the market exhaled — at least for now. The week opened on a knife's edge. Trump's self-imposed deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face escalation kept futures volatile and conviction thin. Monday churned with no direction, the S&P closing essentially flat. Tuesday was similarly tortured. The index swung by more than 1% intraday before settling with a 0.08% gain as Pakistan urged a two-week extension.

Lance Roberts 16 min read
Ceasefire Rally: Can The Market Hold New Support Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 6 months ago

Ceasefire Rally: Can The Market Hold New Support

Upon hearing of the ceasefire, oil prices plummeted by nearly 20%, and the stock market surged. In doing so, the S&P 500 broke well above resistance. Accordingly, the old resistance of the 200-day moving average (DMA) now becomes support. While no one knows whether the ceasefire will hold, the market is entering a seasonally favorable […]

RIA Team 5 min read
Why Gold Is Failing As A Safe Haven Daily Market Commentary
— Daily Market Commentary · 6 months ago

Why Gold Is Failing As A Safe Haven

There seems to be widespread disbelief among gold investors, as gold prices have fallen by over 10% since the US and Israel started bombing Iran on February 28th. Many investors think that gold is a safe haven that should do its best during crisis periods, as we are in. This assumption fails to consider the […]

RIA Team 7 min read