This past week’s ISM service and manufacturing surveys continue to show divergence between...
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Is A Market Rotation At Hand
Markets often experience periods, like today, where specific sectors or factors lead the market....
Credit Stress Is Brewing As Market Complacency Rises
Typically, credit spreads and yields on junk bonds align with credit stress and anticipated stress...
Powell Indicates Balance Between Inflation and Employment
For the better part of the last two years, Jerome Powell and the Fed have clearly indicated that...
Christopher Waller The Fed’s Biggest Hawk Is Turning Dovish
In a speech last Thursday, Fed Governor Christopher Waller showed how even the most hawkish Fed...
Small Cap Returns Point To Interest Rate Worries
As shown on the left, from 1979 until 2000, the correlation between small cap returns (Russell...
Tesla And EVs Fall Out Of Favor
Yesterday’s Commentary discussed the fall of EV maker Fisker. After posting the article,...
Apartment Supply Will Surge This Year
Over the last few weeks, we have shared information about the troubles facing the commercial real...
CRE Pain is Just Getting Started
The vacancy rate of commercial real estate is higher today than at any point in the 2008 global...
QE Light May Allow the Fed to Help the Treasury
With inflation remaining sticky well above the Fed’s 2% target and the economy showing few signs...