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Daily Market Commentary

Diverging Sentiment Readings Raise Recession Risk

By RIA Team, Dec 6, 2022

MarketWatch recently pointed out that two well-followed measures of consumer sentiment are...

Job Growth Will Keep Powell Anxious

By RIA Team, Dec 5, 2022

Last Wednesday Powell stated: “wage growth remains well above levels that would be consistent...

Timiraos Pours Cold Water on Powell Bulls

By RIA Team, Dec 2, 2022

Stocks shot higher on Wednesday after Chair Powell’s speech. Looking for good news, the bulls...

Positioning or Sentiment- Diverging Investor Logic

By RIA Team, Dec 1, 2022

According to the most recent AAII sentiment poll, bears have outnumbered bulls for 35 consecutive...

Flattening The Curve – Fed Style

By RIA Team, Nov 30, 2022

At 1:30, Jerome Powell will update the public on his views. This will be his first speech since the...

Crude Oil is Plunging, Will Energy Stocks Follow?

By RIA Team, Nov 29, 2022

Crude oil prices are now down on the year, despite almost doubling in the first three months....

Junk Bonds Have No Fear

By RIA Team, Nov 28, 2022

A recession is very unlikely if the only recession gauge one was following is the spread of junk...

Continuing Jobless Claims and Recessions

By RIA Team, Nov 25, 2022

The most closely followed measures of employment tend to be lagging indicators. However, there is...

Financial Stability or Is Something Breaking?

By RIA Team, Nov 23, 2022

Recently we have noted that the odds are increasing that financial instability, or as we say,...

Coinbase Bankruptcy Risks Rise

By RIA Team, Nov 22, 2022

On April 14, 2021, shares of Coinbase, a cryptocurrency broker/custodian, were first publically...