Optimism is increasing on Wall Street, with investors hoping for a “soft landing” in...
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Contrarian Trade. Everyone Remains Bearish
From a contrarian investing view, everyone remains bearish despite a market that corrected all of...
Monetary Policy. Is The Fed Trying To Wean Markets Off Of It?
Is the Fed trying to wean the markets off monetary policy? Such was an interesting premise from...
The “Pain Trade” Is Higher For Now
The “pain trade” is likely higher over the next few weeks. I touched on this topic in...
Home Prices Will Likely Fall Further
Home prices have started to correct as interest rates rose sharply in 2022. However, the real...
The Lag Effect Of The Fiscal Pig & Economic Python
The lag effect of monetary policy changes will surprise the Fed as the fiscal “pig” of...
The Fed’s “7% Solution” Won’t Work This Time
Just recently, James Bullard, President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve, suggested the central...
Forward Returns Will Disappoint Compared To The Past Decade
For many investors who started their investing journey following the financial crisis, forward...
S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review – 12-31-22
S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review. A deep dive into the fundamentals which drive...
60/40 Portfolio Set To Outperform Over The Next Decade
Much ink has been spilled over the death of the 60/40 portfolio. However, declaring the demise of...
The Next Secular Bear Market May Be Upon Us
After 12 years of a liquidity-fueled, Fed-induced bull market, are the markets set to start another...
The Treasury Market Is The Fed’s Next Crisis
The Fed’s next crisis is already brewing. Unlike 2008, where “subprime mortgages”...
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