I previously discussed a slate of recessionary indicators with high correlations to recessionary...
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Context And Facts Expose Bearish Bond Narratives
“For me context is the key – from that comes the understanding of everything.”...
Stock Market Correction Coming Before The Santa Claus Rally
Is a stock market correction coming before the Santa Claus rally at the end of the year? It is a...
S&P 500 Market Returns And Why Your Performance Is Worse
As I wrote this blog, the S&P 500 index is up roughly 17% year-to-date. Most likely, your...
Democrats Should Start Worrying About The Deficit.
Democrats should start worrying about the level of debt and the increasing deficit. I previously...
Employment Is Sending Signals: Recession Or Normalization?
In February 2023, we wrote Janet Yellen Should Focus On HOPE. The article walks through Michael...
Speculator Or Investor? What’s The Difference?
Are you an “investor” or a “speculator?” Over the last...
CFNAI: The Most Important & Overlooked Economic Number
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is arguably one of the most important and...
2020 vs 2023: Are Economists Making The Same Mistake?
The following headline from a July 2020 CNBC article is stunning: Here’s why economists...
Bond Bear Market. Is It Dead, Or Just Hibernating?
Is the bond bear market finally over? That is the question everyone is asking now that bond prices...
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