The U.S. economy’s recent growth has a distinctive engine: large‑scale capital expenditures...
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How The Fed Deals Liquidity: The Monetary Toolbox
In our last article, QE Is Coming, we focused on why the capital and financial markets have become...
Full Market Cycles: Half Bull and Half Bear
Last week, we discussed the importance of “math” as it relates to valuations and noted...
Economic Reacceleration: A Contrarian View
Over the past two weeks, we’ve addressed a persistent question: if the data signals weakness, why...
QE Is Coming: The 2008 Roots Of Fed Dominance
Here we go again. The overnight funding markets are showing signs of stress, and the scent of QE is...
Forward Return And The Importance Of Math
During strongly trending bull markets, investors often overlook the importance of math in...
“Money Printing” By The Fed: Fact Or Fiction?
I recently penned an article on "Money Supply Growth," which elicited a very thoughtful response...
Nvidia Deals: Round Tripping Or Vendor Financing?
“Nvidia takes a $1 billion stake in Nokia” reads a recent CNBC headline. As part of the...
Investor Dilemma: Pavlov Rings The Bell
Classical conditioning teaches us a valuable lesson regarding the current investor dilemma....
Gold Myths Luring Investors Into Risk
In case you haven’t heard, precious metals, particularly gold, have risen sharply this year....
CAPE Valuations: Does Nvidia Overstate Its Ominous Warning?
As equity valuations approach the record highs of 1999, investors are growing anxious. This unease...
The Most Dangerous Era In History
We live in what Brett Arends claimed as “The Dumbest Stock Market In History,” but I...
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