1,316 results found
Economics
A recent post from Daniel Lacalle, “How Keynesians Got The US Economy Wrong Again,” exposed the widening gap between John Maynard Keynes' economic theory and reality. Despite the confident forecasts of leading Keynesian economists, the U.S. economy in 2025 continues to defy expectations.
Daily Market Commentary
The graph below breaks down the monthly performance of the S&P 500 since 1928. As shown, September is the only month that has seen more negative monthly performances than positive ones. September’s record joins February as the only two months with a negative average, albeit February is only down 0.08%, versus the more significant 1.17% […]
Invest
Some pundits warn that, given extremely high stock valuations, one should sell everything. Yet, despite having the same information, other pundits show little concern and believe the bull market has further to run. The stark contradiction of opinions in today’s market leaves many investors understandably confused and anxious about what to do. Based on valuations, […]
Economics
There is more to this story than just easing global tensions and rising oil supplies impacting energy prices. Energy prices indicate economic strength, or, in this case, weakness. If the global economy grew strongly, the need for oil consumption would rise, absorbing the current production levels, causing energy prices to rise.
Invest
In his 1687 book, Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica, Sir Isaac Newton defined momentum as the product of mass and velocity, or p = m * v. The reason we begin with a physics lesson is that momentum strategies are very popular, and Isaac Newton’s famous formula can teach us a lot about financial asset momentum. […]
Daily Market Commentary
We have written a few Commentaries over the last year describing how retail, not institutional, investors are driving markets higher. To wit, there is ample evidence that with each market dip, retail investors are not selling, instead buying unrelentingly. In May, we wrote the following: Typically, institutional investors are right; however, over the last few […]
Daily Market Commentary
As we noted in a recent article entitled The High Beta Melt Up: Echoes of 1999, there has been a notable change in investor preferences since the April lows. To wit: “What we do know is that, starting from the April lows, the market’s attitude toward riskier, more speculative activities has become much more intense.” […]
Invest
Most of us start financial planning with a basic idea: save, invest, and retire comfortably. But what happens when life throws something big your way, good or bad? Maybe you will sell your business sooner than expected. Maybe you receive an inheritance. Maybe life takes a sharp left turn through divorce, or you decide to […]
Economics
The latest economic data suggests the US economy is decelerating. That means growth is slowing, jobs are shrinking, and households are spending less. As we showed in a recent #BullBearReport, economic growth, inflation, and personal consumption are trending lower.