1,316 results found
Newsletter
Overall market performance is tracking closely to President Trump's first term as Wall Street tries to assess the impact of tariffs on earnings. The markets will complete that assessment soon, and they will rally once the outlook becomes firmer.
Newsletter
The sentiment chart has been updated, showing that bearish sentiment reached even more profound levels of negativity and is more than two standard deviations below the norms.
Newsletter
Last week, we discussed that continued bullish exuberance and high levels of complacency can quickly turn into volatility. Over the previous week, the market fell sharply following news of a potential viral outbreak in China and more concerns about tariffs from the Trump Administration. While those were the headlines that gained the market's attention, the reality was that the market was overbought and on a sell signal, setting the market up for pullback.
Newsletter
On Thursday, the market broke out of the bullish consolidation over the last few weeks, successfully retesting and holding support at the 50-DMA. Notably, the bullish trend remains intact, and retail investors continue to pour money into the market, with money flows reaching typical peak levels. With the market elevated, downside risk over the next few weeks will likely be contained to recent January lows. What would cause such a correction is unknown, but if money flows begin to reverse, such will likely provide the evidence needed to rebalance risks accordingly.
Daily Market Commentary
The January CPI report was troubling as it rose more than expected. The monthly rate rose by 0.5%, about 0.2% above expectations. The core monthly rate was a tenth of a percent above expectations, at 0.4%. The year-over-year CPI rate rose to 3% from 2.9%. The latest CPI data argues inflation is stuck in a […]
Invest
Learn investment portfolio risk management strategies to protect wealth. Discover tips for reducing investment risks with diversification and risk tools.
Daily Market Commentary
Bond vigilantes had been questioning Janet Yellen’s debt management tactics in her role as Treasury Secretary. Specifically, they accused her of shifting debt issuance away from longer-term maturities and toward shorter ones. We think her strategy made sense. Yellen was issuing more debt where demand was the greatest and trying to limit the amount of […]
Newsletter
With Friday's close, the market turned in a positive month despite the "DeepSeek" shock to the markets this past Monday. As noted by Stocktraders Almanac this past week, the January Barometer sets up a more bullish view of the year's outcome.
Daily Market Commentary
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are hitting record highs partly due to Donald Trump’s pro-crypto policies. One such anticipated policy proposal was the establishment of a strategic crypto reserve. Presumably, this would be similar to currency strategic reserves the US holds but would hold cryptocurrencies. The plan, announced Thursday night, calls the strategic crypto holdings a […]