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Newsletter
Markets traded mixed last week as macro headwinds collided with high-stakes earnings. The S&P 500 slipped -2.36%, while the Nasdaq fell 2.17% in a volatile tech-led week. Most of that decline came on Friday following a much weaker-than-expected jobs report and a resurgence in tariff announcements. Here are the data highlights.
Newsletter
The S&P 500 closed the week at 6,388.64, notching another fresh record high and extending one of the longest weekly winning streaks in the past three years. This persistent rally has been fueled by a potent combination of strong earnings from tech bellwethers, growing expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year, and an abundance of investor liquidity chasing momentum. So far, 87% of companies reporting through Thursday had beat expectations, primarily in Industrials, Financials, Healthcare, and Technology.
Newsletter
As markets close the week after setting fresh all-time highs, the near-term outlook remains cautiously constructive but demands more tactical positioning. Earnings season is ramping up, and early reports from sectors like consumer staples, airlines, and semiconductors have reinforced the bullish narrative, helping propel the S&P 500 to new records. However, technical indicators, including stretched RSI levels and flattening MACD histograms, signal that short-term momentum could reach exhaustion levels, particularly in mega-cap growth stocks.
Newsletter
The S&P 500 closed the week in positive territory, marking another strong performance near record highs. While the index briefly hit new all-time levels midweek, the rally lost some steam on Friday as investors grew cautious ahead of key inflation data and Trump's most recent tariff announcements. However, volatility remained subdued despite those announcements, as complacency remains high despite stretched valuations and upcoming catalysts.
Newsletter
Markets kicked off the second half of 2025 with a strong finish to Q2, propelled by easing geopolitical fears, falling oil prices, and a reaffirmation of the Fed’s dovish tone. The S&P 500 rose 3.4% in the final week of June to close at new record highs.
Newsletter
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq both set all-time highs this week. This feat seems remarkable given the barrage of negative headlines, geopolitical risks, and a Federal Reserve intent on not cutting rates. However, the bulls remain decisively in control of the market as it closed above the 6100 level amid a backdrop of weakening economic data, dovish undertones from the Federal Reserve, and continued strength in mega-cap tech. Despite some pockets of sector underperformance, key technical indicators suggest bullish momentum remains intact, but with caveats beneath the surface.
Daily Market Commentary
Might the future of retirement saving plans for corporate employees be changing? Starting next year, IBM will no longer match their employee’s contributions to their 401k plans. Instead, they will contribute 5% to the employee’s retirement benefit account (RBA). During the first three years of the RBA program, IBM will pay its beneficiaries a 6% […]
Looking back at what drove asset prices is a crucial part of the forecasting process for 2023. In hindsight, it’s obvious the Fed’s monetary policy stance and policy expectations were the critical determinants of asset prices. To reduce inflation, the Fed raised the Fed Funds rate by 4.25% and reduced its balance sheet by over […]
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Exposing a company that poses as a value defensive stock but its valuations argues otherwise.