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Daily Market Commentary

A 50 bps Fed Cut Is Now Expected

By RIA Team, Sep 17, 2024

As we share below, the market is betting on a 50 bps Fed rate cut at tomorrow’s FOMC meeting....

The Yen And Fed Funds Futures Warn Against Complacency

By RIA Team, Sep 16, 2024

Despite improving investor sentiment as the markets approach all-time highs, recent price action in...

Oil Prices Fall As China Slows

By RIA Team, Sep 13, 2024

As we share in the graph below, crude oil prices peaked at $95 a barrel a year ago. More recently,...

Online Prices Point To Deflation

By Michael Lebowitz, Sep 12, 2024

The Adobe Digital Price Index claims to use data from over one trillion online consumer...

Is Bitcoin A Valuable Asset To Own During Fed Rate Cuts?

By RIA Team, Sep 11, 2024

Yesterday’s commentary answered a question from a reader about our thoughts on owning gold or...

Are Gold Miners Better Than Gold?

By RIA Team, Sep 10, 2024

This past weekend, we received this question from a reader. The question is in reference to our...

50 bps or 25 bps? The BLS Report Leaves The Market In Limbo

By RIA Team, Sep 9, 2024

Heading into last Friday’s BLS employment report, the Fed Funds futures market put equal odds...

Is GDP Overstated Like Job Growth?

By RIA Team, Sep 6, 2024

A week ago, the BLS revised lower the number of employed persons by nearly 900,000. Given that...

Nvidia Legal Woes May Benefit AMD And Others

By RIA Team, Sep 5, 2024

Nvidia faces legal woes as the Justice Department subpoenaed the company over antitrust concerns....

The Treasury Yield Curve Sets Off A Recession Warning

By RIA Team, Sep 4, 2024

“The level of U.S. Treasury yields and the changing shape of the Treasury yield curve provide...