“AI is big business” is a gross understatement. The IEA estimates that “the market capitalization of AI-related firms in the S&P 500 has grown by around USD 12 trillion since 2022.” For perspective, the chart below shows that only the U.S., China, and the European Union (EU) have total stock market caps exceeding $12 trillion. […]
Behavioral finance is a powerful lens through which we can better understand the relationship between human psychology and financial decision-making. While numbers and logic drive traditional investing models, real-world choices are often heavily influenced by emotions like fear, greed, and overconfidence. These emotional impulses can lead even seasoned investors to make costly mistakes, especially during […]
Over the weekend, the U.S. launched strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities. Currently, I only have the details reported by major mainstream outlets. However, given that stock market futures are trading sharply lower on Sunday, I wanted to get something in print before the market opens relating to navigating this event over the next few days. […]
The narrative surrounding the “dollar’s death” as the world’s reserve currency has been on the rise recently. However, this happens whenever the dollar declines relative to other currencies. We previously wrote about the false claims of the “dollar’s death” in 2023 (see here, here, and here). The recent decline in the dollar relative to other currencies is well […]
The Iran-Israel conflict and equity markets are now in sharp focus. As direct strikes escalated in June 2025, global financial markets responded immediately. Israel’s airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and energy infrastructure triggered retaliatory missile and drone attacks from Iran. The Dow dropped nearly 2%, the S&P 500 lost over 1%, and oil prices surged by […]
Lately, the “deficit narrative” has dominated much of the financial media, particularly those channels that are continual “purveyors of doom.” In this post, we will discuss the “deficit narrative,” the likely outcomes, and why the cure for the deficit may be found in Artificial Intelligence. The “deficit narrative” has dominated the media lately as President […]
By falling significantly short of its intended savings goals, the DOGE program underscores the substantial challenges that hinder efforts to reduce federal spending and cut the deficit. Furthermore, its failure suggests that a more expedient way to reduce the deficit might be to increase federal revenue. Thus, we pose the simple hypothetical question: What if […]
Recently, I did an interview about “buying the dip” in the market, which generated many comments. Most were, “You’re stupid; the market is going to crash,” but one comment deserved a more thorough discussion. “When buying the dip, how do you know when to do it, or not?” That is the right question. Of course, you will never know […]
It would seem evident that most investors would understand that consumer spending drives economic growth, ultimately creating corporate earnings growth. Yet, despite this somewhat tautological statement, Wall Street appears to ignore this simple reality when forecasting forward earnings. As discussed recently, S&P Global’s current estimates show earnings are growing far above the long-term exponential growth […]