Tesla is the leading manufacturer of electric vehicles (EVs) in the US and second, behind BYD, in the world. Despite its strong position in the EV market, Tesla is only the fourteenth largest auto manufacturer. Despite its low ranking, it has a market capitalization that is almost four times that of Toyota, the second-largest auto […]
The graph below breaks down the monthly performance of the S&P 500 since 1928. As shown, September is the only month that has seen more negative monthly performances than positive ones. September’s record joins February as the only two months with a negative average, albeit February is only down 0.08%, versus the more significant 1.17% […]
Once again, we find ourselves waiting on the all-important BLS labor report. The markets and the Fed are heavily dependent on the monthly BLS employment data; however, there are other labor market data sources that can provide a more frequent indication of labor market conditions. For instance, the weekly BLS data on jobless claims helps […]
Once again, Nvidia continues to see its earnings and revenues grow at astonishing rates. Consider the following: As we noted, data center revenue is driving Nvidia’s fantastic earnings and revenue growth. Helping maintain this growth is its Blackwell GPU architecture. In the last quarter, the new Blackwell products saw a 17% jump in revenue. As […]
President Trump fired Fed Governor Lisa Cook for cause. The President claims, There is sufficient reason to believe you may have made false statements on one or more mortgage agreements. This is the first time in the 112-year history of the Fed that a President has fired a Fed Governor. Cook is fighting the dismissal, […]
We have written a few Commentaries over the last year describing how retail, not institutional, investors are driving markets higher. To wit, there is ample evidence that with each market dip, retail investors are not selling, instead buying unrelentingly. In May, we wrote the following: Typically, institutional investors are right; however, over the last few […]
As we noted in a recent article entitled The High Beta Melt Up: Echoes of 1999, there has been a notable change in investor preferences since the April lows. To wit: “What we do know is that, starting from the April lows, the market’s attitude toward riskier, more speculative activities has become much more intense.” […]
“Nonetheless, with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” That key line from Chairman Powell’s opening speech at the Fed’s Jackson Hole symposium effectively summarizes Powell’s view on monetary policy. Simply, the change in the balance of risks since the BLS jobs revisions […]
The market seas are calm, but beneath the surface, there is some intense churning, or in market terminology, significant stock rotations. Over the last week, the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq were relatively flat. Such gives the appearance of a low volatility, typical late August market with little going on. However, beneath the calm of […]