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Technical Analysis

Technically Speaking: The Bullish & Bearish Market Case

We dig into the bullish and bearish case for the market as we head into the end of the year. Currently, investors face a conundrum between year-end seasonality and the Fed starting to taper its bond-buying program.

Bulls Regain Control Of The Market As Fed Taper Looms 10-15-21

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Is The Risk Of A Bigger Correction Over?

Is the risk of a more significant correction over now that the expected 5% decline is complete? That was a hotly debated question after this past weekend’s newsletter supporting the idea of a reflexive rally into year-end. As I stated: […]

Is The Great “Bear Market” Of 2021 Finally Over?

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Bears Gain Control As Market Fails Resistance

With yesterday’s rout, the “bears” gained control of the narrative as the market failed at resistance. In this past weekend’s newsletter, we discussed the market reclaiming the 100-dma on Friday. To wit: “It is worth noting there are two primary […]

As Expected, Stocks Snap 6-Month Win Streak

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Is The Market “Melting-Up?”

Is the "market melting-up?" Much ink has gotten spilled on the issue as prices relentlessly rise higher in what investors believe is a "no risk" market.

Correction Is Over. Bulls Jump Back Into The Risk Pool 09-24-21

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Stocks Bounce Off The Lows. Time To Buy?

On Monday the market solidly cracked below the 50-dma as the bulls failed to show. Such was a warning I discussed in "Investors Fail To Buy The Dip," this past weekend.

Investors Fail To “BTFD” As They Await Fed “Taper.” 09-17-21

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Too Many Bears Looking For A Correction?

Are there too many "bears" looking for a correction. While the markets tend to climb a "wall of worry" there are times they don't.

Investors Hold Record Allocations Despite Rising Warnings 09-10-21

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Wall Street Sets Its Sights On S&P 5000

As the market gets more bullish, analysts are now in a foot race to see who can claim the title of S&P 5000 first. The question is will economic growth and earnings disappoint?

Technically Speaking: The Bulls Warn The Fed Not To Taper

As the Fed starts to talk about "taper," the "bulls" sent a stern warning with a 2% "crash" they shouldn't. With weak internals investors remain at risk.

Fed Says Taper Is Coming. Bulls Hear “No Taper Now.” 08-27-21

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: “Pet Rocks” & Other Signs Of A Rich Market

Recently, an NFT pet rock was sold for 6-figures. These types of behaviors are just the latest sign of exuberance and "rich" markets. We examine valuations, history and eventual outcomes.

The Fed Blinks On Taper, Bulls Buy The Dip Again 08-20-21

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Did The Fed’s Monetary Policy Experiment Just Fail?

Did the Fed's "monetary policy experiment" fail? The recent dislocation between consumer confidence and the financial markets may indicate just that.

Technically Speaking: 6-Positive Market Months. What Happens Next?

The market has been positive 6-months in a row. Such tends to be one of the longer stretches without a market decline of 5-10%.

Bulls Charge Ahead On Hopes Fed Stands Pat 08-13-21

In this 08-13-21 issue of “Bulls Charge Ahead On Hopes Fed Stands Pat.” Market Rally Gains Steam Market Internals Extraordinarily Weak The Fed Gave Investors No Choice Portfolio Positioning Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, […]

Technically Speaking: A Test Of The 200-DMA Is Coming

"Past Performance Is no guarantee of future of results." Such is the disclaimer below every performance chart produce by the financial marketplace. However, as Jason Zweig recently noted, that warning has taken on a different meaning.

Market Stalls At All-Time Highs Awaiting The Fed

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Past Performance Is A Guarantee?

"Past Performance Is no guarantee of future of results." Such is the disclaimer below every performance chart produce by the financial marketplace. However, as Jason Zweig recently noted, that warning has taken on a different meaning.

Market Rally Continues As Earnings Beat Estimates

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment”

Hymen Minsky theorized that long periods of bullish speculation create excesses generated by reckless, speculative activity eventually leading to a crisis. It is the basis of the "stability/instability" paradox.

Bulls “Buy The Dip” But Is The Risk Really Over? 07-23-21

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Hedge Funds Ramp Up Exposure

The "Fear Of Missing Out" has infected retail and hedge funds alike as they ramp up exposure to chase performance. What happens next isn't great.

Earnings Kick Off With Markets Priced For Perfection

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.

Technically Speaking: Bubbles Are Evident After They Pop

Bubbles are evident, and only get acknowledged, after they pop. Such is because, during the inflation phase of the market bubble, investors rationalize why "this time is different."

Yields Plunge. Dollar Surges. The Reflation Trade Unravels.

The #RealInvestmentReport is our weekly newsletter which covers our thoughts on the current market environment, the risk to capital relative to the market, and how we are positioned currently. It includes our MacroView, analysis on markets and sectors, financial planning, and our 401k plan manager.