1,313 results found
Invest
Despite the recent rally, the correction continues. While wanting to “buy the dip” is tempting, the technical damage is enough to warrant remaining cautious in the near term. As we have discussed, managing risk requires discipline and the emotional ability to navigate more volatile markets until a more straightforward path for risk-taking emerges. The problem […]
Invest
Last week, we noted that “nothing good happens below the 200-DMA,” and the tariff-induced market crash this week confirmed that. However, we also noted that over the last 30 years, previous failures at the 200-DMA have also often been buying opportunities. That is, unless some “event” of magnitude creates a massive shift in analysts’ estimates. “For this […]
Economics
A Wall Street axiom states that the stock markets lead the economy by about six months. While not a perfect predictor, the stock market reacts to investor expectations about future corporate earnings, economic activity, interest rates, and inflation. When sentiment shifts due to anticipated weakness in any of these areas, equity prices often decline, reflecting […]
Invest
The biggest question I have been getting from clients and prospects lately is, “Is the correction over?” \This is not surprising, given that market declines are brutal on emotions. However, as investors, we often forget that, like the laws of gravity, “what goes up must come down.” In today’s blog post, I want to provide two […]
Invest
U.S. recession risks have been a headline over the last few weeks as the markets sold off. “Goldman Sachs and Moody’s Analytics in recent days joined forecasters raising alarm about the increased likelihood of an economic downturn. The warnings coincided with a market plunge touched off by U.S. tariffs against Canada, Mexico, and China, some of which […]
Invest
It has been an interesting correction. The average retail investor was “buying the dip” despite having an extremely bearish outlook. This is an interesting point because, as shown, the retail investor used to be considered a “contrarian indicator” as they were prone to be driven by emotional behaviors that led them to “buy high and sell low.” […]
Invest
Human stupidity is the one thing you can rely on in financial markets. I recently read a great piece by Joe Wiggins at Behavioral Investment, which discusses why “Investingis hard.” The entire article is worth reading, but here are the five key reasons investors often fail at investing: These are great points, particularly now that there […]
Economics
The risk of a recession in the U.S. is not zero. This is particularly true as the current Administration tackles Government bloat and implements tariffs. However, before we discuss why the risk of a recession could increase, it is crucial to remember the 2022 experience. At that time, most economists were convinced a “recession was […]
Invest
Just recently, S&P Global released its 2026 earnings estimates, which, for lack of a better word, have gone parabolic. Such should not be surprising given the ongoing exuberance on Wall Street. As noted last week, correlations between all asset classes, whether international or emerging markets, gold or bitcoin, have all gone to one. Unsurprisingly, rationalizations […]