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Tax Receipts. Another Leading Recession Indicator?
Tax receipts are falling, which has historically preceded economic recessions. In a recent...
Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience
The economy has marched forward, ignoring higher interest rates and consistent calls for a...
Market Cycle Lows And Bull Market Recoveries
There is a rhythm to the markets, and market cycle lows support bull market recoveries. Recently,...
The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy
“The stock market is not the economy.” Such is the latest rationalization to support...
Stocks Versus Bonds: Allocating For The Next Ten Years
Our recent article, The End of an Era for Stocks, warns that a tremendous thirty-year tailwind for...
Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish
“Bullish measures are getting really bullish.” This is an interesting statement, given...
Deficits, Debt, And Why $32 Trillion Matters
While Washington continues a seemingly unbridled spending spree under the assumption “more...
The Government Can’t Afford Higher for Longer, Much Longer
Jerome Powell and his colleagues endlessly reassert their “higher for longer” plan for interest...
“Beating Estimates” – How Companies Win In Earnings Season
No matter what happens, financially or economically, there is always a high number of companies...
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