Blog Japan Breaks The ‘Debt Causes Inflation’ Narrative Daily Market Commentary The FOMC Sees Zero Downside Economic Risks Daily Market Commentary Dow Slides While Nasdaq Rallies: Omen Or Rotation? Blog Earnings Mean Reversion: When Estimates Snap Back Daily Market Commentary Low Jobless Claims Are ‘Half A Misnomer’ Bull Bear Report The Fed Rate Hike Won’t Fix The Inflation It Targets Daily Market Commentary A Hike Like No Other Blog K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception Daily Market Commentary Another Hike By Year End And No Cuts On The Horizon Blog Has The Bond Market Already Done The Fed’s Job?
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Wednesday — September 23, 2026
Houston, Texas

Category: Invest

Permabull? Hardly.

Permabull? Hardly.

By Lance Roberts, Dec 17, 2024

I never thought someone would label me a “Permabull.” This is particularly true of the numerous articles I wrote over the years about the risks of excess valuations, monetary interventions, and artificially suppressed interest rates. However, here we are. “Lance, you are just another permabull talking your book. When this market crashes you will still be telling […]

Economic Indicators And The Trajectory Of Earnings

Economic Indicators And The Trajectory Of Earnings

By Lance Roberts, Dec 13, 2024

Understanding the trajectory of corporate earnings is crucial for investors, as these earnings significantly influence stock valuations and market performance. Economic indicators such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index, and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) provide valuable insights into the economic environment that shapes company profitability. […]

MicroStrategy And Its Convertible Debt Scheme

MicroStrategy And Its Convertible Debt Scheme

By Michael Lebowitz, Dec 11, 2024

MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock is soaring alongside Bitcoin. In the wake of extreme confidence, we fear many MicroStrategy investors fail to grasp the inherent risks with its unique convertible bond funding and leverage scheme. A recent podcast featuring Tom Lee presented some positive facts about MicroStrategy’s recent convertible bond offering but failed to tell the whole […]

Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching.

Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching.

By Lance Roberts, Dec 10, 2024

While analysts are currently very optimistic about the market, the combined risk of high valuations and the need to rebalance portfolios in the short term may pose an unanticipated threat. This is particularly the case given the current high degree of speculation and leverage in the market. It is fascinating how quickly people forget the painful beating […]

The Kalecki Profit Equation And The Coming Reversion

The Kalecki Profit Equation And The Coming Reversion

By Lance Roberts, Dec 6, 2024

Corporations are currently producing the highest level of profitability, as a percentage of GDP, in history. However, understanding corporate profitability involves more than glancing at quarterly earnings reports. At its core, the Kalecki Profit Equation provides a valuable framework, especially when exploring the reasons behind today’s elevated profit margins and what could disrupt them. James […]

2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near

2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near

By Michael Lebowitz, Dec 4, 2024

Might another market liquidity event be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. A liquidity shortfall can have meaningful market impacts since asset prices rely heavily on liquidity. Liquidity problems lasting more than a few days typically require the Fed […]