Bull Bear Report Stock-Bond Correlation: Oil Broke The Hedge. Oil Will Fix It. Daily Market Commentary Meta Splits: The Buyback Machine Shifts To Reverse Blog Fed Over-Tightening: How Much Runway Is Left Before It Bites? Daily Market Commentary Why Small Caps Have Recently Traded Like A Bond Proxy Blog Are Bonds Pricing In A Fed Policy Mistake? Daily Market Commentary Neoclouds And Hyperscalers: Same Concept, Different Risks Daily Market Commentary The Misleading Tech Sell-Off Daily Market Commentary Warsh Says Little: Market Hears Hold Blog AI Capex And Earnings: What Happens When Growth Slows Bull Bear Report Pimco Sees A 6% 10-Year. Here’s Why “Bad Inflation” Caps Yields
Vol. XXVII · No. 134
Sunday — October 25, 2026
Houston, Texas

Content type: MacroView

Bad Inflation Cures Itself. Good Inflation Doesn’t

Bad Inflation Cures Itself. Good Inflation Doesn’t

By Lance Roberts, Oct 16, 2026

A funny thing about bull markets is that investors develop a very short memory about the previous bear market. Such is why cycles repeat throughout history as lessons must be learned and relearned.

Gambling Epidemic: Gen Z Bets Against Their Future

Gambling Epidemic: Gen Z Bets Against Their Future

By Lance Roberts, Oct 9, 2026

A funny thing about bull markets is that investors develop a very short memory about the previous bear market. Such is why cycles repeat throughout history as lessons must be learned and relearned.

Price Of Happiness: Missing The Things That Matter

Price Of Happiness: Missing The Things That Matter

By Lance Roberts, Oct 2, 2026

The viral “price of happiness” number prices a survey answer, not the thing you feel, and it’s quoted per person. The “price of happiness” chart came around again recently, and the number attached to it was as confident as ever. One widely shared version, built from a Remitly analysis, ranked 50 countries. The measure: how […]

Consumer Credit Stress: What The Data Really Shows

Consumer Credit Stress: What The Data Really Shows

By Lance Roberts, Sep 25, 2026

A viral stat claims credit card delinquencies just hit their worst level since 2008. However, the New York Fed’s own data shows the opposite, and the real consumer credit stress is hiding exactly where the headlines aren’t looking. A number has been making the rounds all year, and it’s misleading. The claim: roughly 13% of […]

K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception

K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception

By Lance Roberts, Sep 18, 2026

“What the K-shaped economy gets right, what it exaggerates, and what believing the worst version is costing a generation.” The bottom half of American households owns about 2.5% of the nation’s wealth. That number is real, and it ought to bother you. However, that number is also higher than it was in 2019 and 2015, […]

US Debt Trap: A Crisis Without A Calendar

US Debt Trap: A Crisis Without A Calendar

By Lance Roberts, Sep 11, 2026

Wall Street’s latest doom thesis says the Fed is trapped and a US debt trap is nearly here, but it never names a date, and the data says the trap door isn’t opening. Every few months, a new essay declares that the US debt trap has finally sprung. The latest one making the rounds from […]

AI Bears: Right About The Excess, May Be Wrong On The Trade

AI Bears: Right About The Excess, May Be Wrong On The Trade

By Lance Roberts, Sep 4, 2026

While the AI bears focus on concentration and circular financing, the last tech overbuild was financed with debt, and this one is being paid for in cash. Before I discuss why I disagree with the “AI bears,” I want to state that I respect their opinions, have evaluated their concerns, and have simply derived a […]

Democratic Socialism: A Beautiful Cake With A Bitter Aftertaste

Democratic Socialism: A Beautiful Cake With A Bitter Aftertaste

By Lance Roberts, Aug 28, 2026

Democratic Socialism promises affordability and fairness. The bill, from Caracas to Copenhagen, is something else entirely. On January 1st, a self-described democratic socialist was sworn in as mayor of the largest city in America. Weeks before that, socialist candidates swept a wave of primaries, sending the largest bloc of socialist legislators in New York history […]