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Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth

Alfonoso Peccatiello recently wrote an interesting piece on portfolio risk management, starting with a quote from Steve Cohen: โ€˜โ€™I compile statistics on my traders. My best trader makes money only 63 percent of the time. Most traders make money only […]

“Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategyโ€ฆFor Now

“Buy Every Dip” has lately been the “Siren’s Song” for this market. Such is seen in the flows into ETFs over the course of this year. Retail investors treat pullbacks as temporary noise, and their behavior borders on mechanical. Every […]

Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It

There is little doubt that excess bullishness has invaded the general market psyche. Just a couple of months following the market decline in March and April, where sentiment turned exceedingly bearish, the S&P 500 hovers near its highs. Furthermore, analysts […]

Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation

Meme stock trading has returned in force. As discussed last week, the fear of missing out (FOMO) continues to dominate investor sentiment. The meme stock movement is again dominated by speculative retail trading driven by online forums, social media hype, […]

Bull Streak Ends As August Begins

As the turn of the calendar occurred on Friday, the bull streak for the market since the April lows ended. Such was not unexpected, and the correction has been a topic of discussion in our #DailyMarketCommentary over the last two […]

Portfolio Benchmarking: 5-Reasons Underperformance Occurs

When markets declineโ€”especially after long periods of sustained growthโ€”the familiar advice resurfaces: “Be patient. Stay invested. Ride it out.” The rationale? The market always goes up over time. But there’s a critical flaw in this narrative. Your portfolio and a […]

Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance

Retail speculation is once again gripping the markets. A recent Wall Street Journal article highlighted how the latest retail gambling vehicleโ€”zero-days-to-expiration (0DTE) optionsโ€”has exploded in popularity. According to CBOE, trading volumes in these contracts have surged nearly sixfold over the […]

Relative Returns Or Absolute. What’s More Important?

A couple of years ago, I wrote about absolute versus relative returns. Given the latest market run, I am getting a lot of questions about chasing returns, and individuals comparing themselves to the S&P 500 index. Historically, trying to beat […]

Q2-2025 Earnings Season Preview

Next week, the Q2-2025 earnings season will begin in earnest as a barrage of S&P 500 companies report, starting with the Wall Street money center banks on Tuesday and Wednesday. Since earnings drive the market by supporting investor expectations, what […]