Jerome Powell and his colleagues endlessly reassert their โhigher for longerโ plan for interest...
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“Beating Estimates” – How Companies Win In Earnings Season
No matter what happens, financially or economically, there is always a high number of companies...
ESG Is Dying Its Inevitable Death
ESG scoring and mandates remain a subject we have contested since it sprang to life in 2020. The...
Our Elevator Pitch for Bonds
In the social media era, where attention spans are measured in seconds, and 300-500 words are...
Volatility Index Is So Low It Has To Go Up?
The volatility index is so low it has to go higher eventually. Such seems obvious, but this year,...
Market Cycles And Why The Bull Isn’t Dead
There is much debate as of late on the current market cycle. Is it a bear market? Maybe. But what...
The End of an Era for Stocks, Warns the Fed
A recent whitepaper by the Federal Reserve warns of “significantly lower profit growth and...
Stock Risk – Does It Decline Over Time?
Does stock risk decline the longer the holding period is? It’s a great question and something...
Fed Funds Futures are Unreliable- Expect the Unexpected Again
The June 2024 Fed Funds futures contract implies that the Fed will only cut interest rates slightly...
Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?
Leading economists, Federal Reserve Presidents, and most investors pay close attention to the shape...
Bull Trap Or A Bull Market?
Is the recent rally a “bull trap,” or are we in a new “bull market?” Such...
Signs, Signs, Everywhere Signs (But No Recession Yet)
“Signs” was a song by the Five Man Electrical Band in 1970 about the hippie movement....
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