GDPNow and other GDP estimates took a dive today on weaker than expected manufacturing reports.
The GDPNow forecast for third-quarter GDP fell to 1.8% today on weak economic reports.
Gold and Treasuries Rally
Real Final Sales
The important number is “Real Final Sales“.
That’s the bottom line estimate for the economy. The rest is inventory adjustment which nets to zero over time.
The GDPNow estimate of Real Final Sales fell to 1.6% today, a new low for the series. It’s near, and possibly below the economic stall point.
Also, please see my report today: Manufacturing ISM Worst Since 2009 on Severe Contraction of Export Orders.
Mike Shedlock,/ Mish is a registered investment advisor and a though leader on economics and finance. His “MishTalk” global economics blog is highly read and he posts several articles daily on the global economy. Topics include interest rates, central bank policy, gold, precious metals, jobs, and economic reports from an Austrian Economic perspective. Follow Mish on Twitter or email him.