Category Archives: Featured Blogs

The Rude Awakening Of Slumbering Bulls

Written by Lance Roberts | Dec, 14, 2017

Near the end of each year, Barron’s magazine highlights the outlooks for the next year from 10, or so, Wall Street strategists. As noted recently by Sentiment Trader: “Strategists are…

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The “Exit” Problem

Written by Lance Roberts | Dec, 11, 2017

Last week, I discussed the issue of “bubbles” in the market. To wit: “Market bubbles have NOTHING to do with valuations or fundamentals.” Hold on…don’t start screaming “heretic” and building…

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This Time IS Different, It Just Ends The Same

Written by Lance Roberts | Dec, 4, 2017

This past weekend, I was in Florida with Chris Martenson and Nomi Prins discussing the current backdrop of the markets, economic cycles, and future outcomes. A bulk of the conversations…

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The Mean Reverting History Of Profit Growth

Written by Lance Roberts | Nov, 30, 2017

As the markets push once again into record territory the question of valuations becomes ever more important.  While valuations are a poor timing tool in the short term for investors,…

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2 Of 3 Investing Methods Will Leave You Short

Written by Lance Roberts | Nov, 20, 2017

On a daily basis, there is a litany of articles and advertisements encouraging you to invest your savings with the promise of future wealth and retirement security. But which is…

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VIDEO: It’s A Turkey Market

Written by Lance Roberts | Nov, 15, 2017

Earlier this week, I wrote about the “Turkey” market. What’s a “Turkey” market?  Nassim Taleb summed it up well in his 2007 book “The Black Swan.” “Consider a turkey that is fed every…

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The Truth About Wall Street Analysis

Written by Lance Roberts | Nov, 13, 2017

Turn on financial television or pick up a financially related magazine or newspaper and you will hear, or read, about what an analyst from some major Wall Street brokerage has…

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Bond Bears & Why Rates Won’t Rise

Written by Lance Roberts | Nov, 9, 2017

Here we go again… Since June of 2013, I have been writing about the reasons why rates can’t rise much and why calls for the end of the “bond bull…

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3-Myths About Tax Cuts

Written by Lance Roberts | Nov, 6, 2017

On Friday, I touched on the proposed “tax cut/reform” bill introduced by the House Ways and Means committee which is chaired by Congressman Kevin Brady. Some of the key highlights…

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The Saving Rate Conundrum

Written by Lance Roberts | Nov, 2, 2017

The economy is booming. Employment is at decade lows. Unemployment claims are at the lowest levels in 40-years. The stock market is at record highs and climbing. Consumers are more…

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QE’s Untold Story

Written by Daniel Nevins | Nov, 2, 2017

We’ve produced some research over the years that we’d love to see the powers-that-be react to, but none more so than our look at financial flows during the QE programs….

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The “Fat Pitch” & Miss

Written by Lance Roberts | Oct, 30, 2017

While I remain long and invested in the markets on behalf of my clients, I focus and write about the significant risks that are currently present. I am fully aware…

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The Fed Balance Sheet Unwind Myth

Written by Lance Roberts | Oct, 26, 2017

Since the beginning of the year, the Federal Reserve has been heavily discussing, warning rather, they were going to begin to “unwind” their gargantuan balance sheet. As Michael Lebowitz recently…

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Dow 500,000? We Are Already There!

Written by Lance Roberts | Oct, 23, 2017

I genuinely admire Morgan Housel. I think he is a brilliant and talented writer. However, he sent out a tweet on Friday that really struck a chord with me. If…

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One Chart Shows Investors Are Dealt A Losing Hand

Written by Lance Roberts | Oct, 9, 2017

The rise in the market has seemed unstoppable. Despite the Federal Reserve continuing to hike interest rates and tightening monetary policy, geopolitical risks from North Korea to Iran, mass shootings,…

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Bull Trap: The False Promise Of Tax Cuts

Written by Lance Roberts | Oct, 5, 2017

Last week, I did a fairly extensive analysis on the release of the 9-page “Trump Tax Cut” plan.  The most important aspect of that discussion was the difference between 1982,…

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